Article
ANTARCTIC RESEARCH SERIES, VOL. 79, PP. 61-68, 2003
Spatial and temporal variation of surface temperature on the Antarctic Peninsula and the limit of viability of ice shelves
Mapping surface air temperature in the Antarctic Peninsula region is made unusually difficult by: the scarcity of meteorological
stations, strong climatic gradients and recent rapid regional warming. We have compiled a database of 534 mean annual temperatures
derived from measurements of snow temperature at around 10-m depth and air temperature measured at meteorological stations
and automatic weather stations. These annual temperatures were corrected for interannual variability using a composite record
from six stations across the region. The corrected temperatures were then analysed using multiple linear regression to yield
altitudinal and temporal lapse rates. A subset of 508 values were then used to produce a map of temperature reduced to sea
level and for a specific epoch (2000 A.D.). The map shows the dramatic climate contrast (3–5°C) between the east and west
coast of the Antarctic Peninsula in greater detail than earlier studies and also indicates that the present limit of ice shelves
closely follows the −9°C (2000 A.D.) isotherm. Furthermore, the limit of ice shelves known to have retreated during the last
100 years is bounded by the −9°C and −5°C (2000 A.D.) isotherms, suggesting that the retreat of ice shelves in the Antarctic
Peninsula region is consistent with a warming of around −4°C.
Citation: Morris, E. M., and
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