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Coastal and Estuarine Studies

 

Keywords

  • Oceanography—Mathematical models
  • Continental shelf—Mathematical models

Index Terms

  • 4219 Oceanography: General: Continental shelf processes
  • 4255 Oceanography: General: Numerical modeling
  • 4263 Oceanography: General: Ocean prediction
  • 3230 Mathematical Geophysics: Numerical solutions

Quantitative Skill Assessment for Coastal Ocean Models

Vol. 47, 1995

COASTAL AND ESTUARINE STUDIES, VOL. 47, 510 PP., 1995
ISSN: 0733-9569; ISBN: 0-87590-261-8

Quantitative Skill Assessment for Coastal Ocean Models

D. R. Lynch and A. M. Davies (Eds.)

There can be little doubt that estuarine, coastal and shelf circulation modeling will assume increasing importance in the immediate future, as we work through the implications of industrialization for oceanic systems. These issues will place new and serious operational demands on available models, and the rapid increase in computational power we now enjoy makes it possible to respond with detailed simulations in many categories. As a result, we are witnessing an explosive growth in the quantity of model‐generated information. Lacking, however, is a concomitant increase in its quality or even in quality control procedures. A single simulation exercise is easily capable of generating gigabytes of output in a matter of hours. Most of the data will necessarily go unexamined by its progenitors. Yet it is highly likely that disks full of simulation output will be used extensively as learning tools for students and researchers, as criteria for engineering design, as a basis for operational decision‐making, and in the formulation of public policy.
The purpose of this volume is to assemble and present what is known about the intrinsic quality of simulation output: its “correctness” for various purposes. We have operated on the twin premises that (1) every simulation has some intrinsic value and (2) every simulation has serious drawbacks. Between these two extremes lies a vast gulf of uncertainty and potential error, which must be bridged in a professional way if modeling is to achieve its potential in the coastal ocean. This is the basic challenge put to the authors of this volume. Essentially we seek to describe and consolidate approaches, theories, and practices for extracting information from models, and to understand the limits of their proper use.

Citation: Lynch, D. R., and A. M. Davies (Eds.) (1995), Quantitative Skill Assessment for Coastal Ocean Models, Coastal Estuarine Stud., vol. 47, 510 pp., AGU, Washington, D. C., doi:10.1029/CE047.

Lynch, Daniel R.; Davies, Alan M.

Preface

pp. ix-ix

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Dee, Dick P.

A pragmatic approach to model validation

pp. 1-13

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Carey, Graham F.

Mesh generation, a posteriori error estimation and mesh refinement

pp. 15-29

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Ridderinkhof, Herman

Lagrangian flows in complex Eulerian current fields

pp. 31-48

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Johnsen, Matthias; Lynch, Daniel R.

Assessment of a second-order radiation boundary condition for tidal and wind driven flows

pp. 49-70

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Davies, Alan M.; Xing, Jiuxing

An intercomparison and validation of a range of turbulence closure schemes used in three dimensional tidal models

pp. 71-95

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Davies, Alan M.; Luyten, Patrick J.; Deleersnijder, Eric

Turbulence energy models in shallow sea oceanography

pp. 97-123

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Hannah, Charles G.; Wright, Daniel G.

Depth dependent analytical and numerical solutions for wind-driven flow in the coastal ocean

pp. 125-152

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Lynch, Daniel R.; Ip, Justin T. C.; Naimie, Christopher E.; Werner, Francisco E.

Convergence studies of tidally-rectified circulation on Georges Bank

pp. 153-174

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Le Provost, Christian; Genco, Marie-Laure; Lyard, Florent

Modeling and predicting tides over the World Ocean

pp. 175-201

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Foreman, Michael G.G.; Crawford, William R.; Marsden, Richard F.

De–tiding: Theory and practice

pp. 203-239

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Baptista, Antonio M.; Adams, E. Eric; Gresho, Philip

Benchmarks for the transport equation: The convection-diffusion forum and beyond

pp. 241-268

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Werner, Francisco E.

A field test case for tidally forced flows: A review of the tidal flow forum

pp. 269-283

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Røed, Lars Petter; Hackett, Bruce; Gjevik, Bjørn; Eide, Lars Ingolf

A review of the Metocean Modeling Project (MOMOP) Part 1 : Model comparison study

pp. 285-305

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Hackett, Bruce; Røed, Lars Fetter; Gjevik, Bjørn; Martinsen, Eivind A.; Eide, Lars Ingolf

A review of the Metocean Modeling Project (MOMOP) Part 2: Model validation study

pp. 307-327

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Oey, L.-Y; Manning, J.; Jo, H.T.; You, K.W.

A plume and wind driven circulation model of the New York Bight

pp. 329-347

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Luettich, Richard A., Jr.; Westerink, Joannes J.

Continental shelf scale convergence studies with a barotropic tidal model

pp. 349-371

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Vested, Hans Jacob; Nielsen, Jacob Woge; Jensen, Henrik René; Kristensen, Karsten Holding

Skill assessment of an operational hydrodynamic forecast system for the North Sea and Danish Belts

pp. 373-396

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Chihfeng, Kuan; Bedford, Keith W.; Schwab, David J.

A preliminary credibility analysis of the Lake Erie portion of the Great Lakes Forecasting System for springtime heating conditions

pp. 397-423

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Gerritsen, Herman; de Vries, Hans; Philippart, Marc

The Dutch Continental Shelf Model

pp. 425-467

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Glenn, Scott M.; Robinson, Allan R.

Verification of an operational Gulf Stream Forecasting Model

pp. 469-499

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Lynch, Daniel R.; Davies, Alan M.; Gerritsen, Herman; Mooers, Christopher N.K.

Closure: Quantitative skill assessment for coastal ocean models

pp. 501-506

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Cited By

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