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Geophysical Monograph Series



  • Geodynamics
  • Chaotic behavior in systems
  • Nonlinear theories

Index Terms

  • 9820 General or Miscellaneous: Techniques applicable in three or more fields
  • 7220 Seismology: Earthquake prediction
  • 5104 Physical Properties of Rocks: Fracture and flow
  • 7230 Seismology: Seismicity

Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability of Geophysical Phenomena

Vol. 83, 1994

ISSN: 0065-8448; ISBN: 0-87590-469-6

Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability of Geophysical Phenomena

W. I. Newman, A. Garielov, and D. L. Turcotte (Eds.)

The goal of this volume is to establish an understanding and interdisciplinary cooperation among geophysicists and nonlinear dynamicists. While the last thirty years has brought substantial progress in the study of the atmosphere and ocean as well as of convection in the Earth's mantle and core, the nonlinear revolution is only beginning to have an impact on the investigation of the solid Earth. The problem of predictability in chaotic nonlinear systems is one of the most important and difficult subjects in modern nonlinear science. In its application to geophysics and, especially, earthquake prediction, it presents both a profound intellectual problem and an issue with important societal implications.

Citation: Newman, W. I., A. Garielov, and D. L. Turcotte (Eds.) (1994), Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability of Geophysical Phenomena, Geophys. Monogr. Ser., vol. 83, 107 pp., AGU, Washington, D. C., doi:10.1029/GM083.

Newman, William I.; Gabrielov, Andrei; Turcotte, Donald L.


pp. ix-x

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Moritz, Helmut


pp. xi-xi

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Lighthill, James

Chaos: A historical perspective

pp. 1-5

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Gabrielov, Andrei; Newman, William I.

Seismicity modeling and earthquake prediction: A review

pp. 7-13

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Gu, Yaojun; Wong, Teng-Fong

Nonlinear dynamics of the transition from stable sliding to cyclic stick-slip in rock

pp. 15-35

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Li, Q.; Nyland, E.

Is the dynamics of the lithosphere chaotic?

pp. 37-41

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Trifu, Cezar-Ioan; Radulian, Mircea

Dynamics of a Seismic Regime: Vrancea - A Case History

pp. 43-53

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Yin, Xiang-Chu; Yin, Can; Chen, Xue-Zhong

The precursor of instability for nonlinear systems and its application to earthquake prediction—the load-unload response ratio theory

pp. 55-60

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Tiwari, R.K.; Negi, J.G.; Rao, K.N.N.

Strange attractor in nonlinear fluctuations of length of the day (LOD) time series

pp. 61-67

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Bak, Per; Christensen, Kim; Olami, Zeev

Self-organized criticality: Consequences for Statistics and predictability of earthquakes

pp. 69-74

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Zhiren, Niu; Dangmin, Chen

Period-doubling bifurcation and chaotic phenomena in a single degree of freedom elastic system with a two-state variable friction law

pp. 75-80

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Shi, Yaolin; Geng, Lumin; Zhang, Guomin

Nonlinear dynamic modeling of earthquake prediction

pp. 81-89

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Grasman, Johan; Houtekamer, Peter

Methods for improving the prediction of dynamical processes with special reference to the atmospheric circulation

pp. 91-96

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Cherniavski, V. M.; Shtemler, Yu. M.

The nonlinear asymptotic stage of the Rayleigh-Taylor instability with wide bubbles and narrowing spikes

pp. 97-102

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Tyupkin, Yu. S.; Feldstein, A. Ya.

Correlation dimension of the strange attractor for geomagnetic field variations

pp. 103-107

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Cited By

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