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Geophysical Monograph Series



  • extreme events
  • natural hazards
  • complex systems
  • risk analysis
  • climate change
  • nonequilibrium systems

Index Terms

  • 4306 Natural Hazards: Multihazards
  • 4313 Natural Hazards: Extreme events (1817, 3235)
  • 4315 Natural Hazards: Monitoring, forecasting, prediction (1816, 1922, 2722, 3238, 3245, 4263, 7223, 7924)
  • 4430 Nonlinear Geophysics: Complex systems

Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective

Vol. 196, 2012

ISSN: 0065-8448; ISBN: 978-0-87590-486-3

Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective

A. S. Sharma, A. Bunde, V. P. Dimri, and D. N. Baker (Eds.)

Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective examines recent developments in complexity science that provide a new approach to understanding extreme events. This understanding is critical to the development of strategies for the prediction of natural hazards and mitigation of their adverse consequences. The volume is a comprehensive collection of current developments in the understanding of extreme events. The following critical areas are highlighted: understanding extreme events, natural hazard prediction and development of mitigation strategies, recent developments in complexity science, global change and how it relates to extreme events, and policy sciences and perspective. With its overarching theme, Extreme Events and Natural Hazards will be of interest and relevance to scientists interested in nonlinear geophysics, natural hazards, atmospheric science, hydrology, oceanography, tectonics, and space weather.

Citation: Sharma, A. S., A. Bunde, V. P. Dimri, and D. N. Baker (Eds.) (2012), Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective, Geophys. Monogr. Ser., vol. 196, 371 pp., AGU, Washington, D. C., doi:10.1029/GM196.

Sharma, A. Surjalal; Bunde, Armin; Dimri, Vijay P.; Baker, Daniel N.


pp. vii-null

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Sharma, A. Surjalal; Baker, Daniel N.; Bhattacharyya, Archana; Bunde, Armin; Dimri, Vijay P.; Gupta, Harsh K.; Gupta, Vijay K.; Lovejoy, Shaun; Main, Ian G.; Schertzer, Daniel; von Storch, Hans; Watkins, Nicholas W.

Complexity and Extreme Events in Geosciences: An Overview

pp. 1-16

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Yoder, M. R.; Turcotte, D. L.; Rundle, J. B.

Earthquakes: Complexity and Extreme Events

pp. 17-26

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Rodkin, M. V.

Patterns of Seismicity Found in the Generalized Vicinity of a Strong Earthquake: Agreement With Common Scenarios of Instability Development

pp. 27-39

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Dominguez, Rachele; Tiampo, Kristy; Serino, C. A.; Klein, W.

Characterizing Large Events and Scaling in Earthquake Models With Inhomogeneous Damage

pp. 41-54

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Roy, Sohini; Ghosh, Uma; Hazra, Sugata; Kayal, J. R.

Fractal Dimension and b Value Mapping Before and After the 2004 Megathrust Earthquake in the Andaman-Sumatra Subduction Zone

pp. 55-62

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Rastogi, B. K.; Choudhury, Pallabee; Dumka, Rakesh; Sreejith, K. M.; Majumdar, T. J.

Stress Pulse Migration by Viscoelastic Process for Long-Distance Delayed Triggering of Shocks in Gujarat, India, After the 2001 Mw 7.7 Bhuj Earthquake

pp. 63-73

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Ismail-Zadeh, A. T.; Le Mouël, J.-L.; Soloviev, A. A.

Extreme Seismic Events in Models of Lithospheric Block-and-Fault Dynamics

pp. 75-97

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Zahn, Matthias; von Storch, Hans

Investigation of Past and Future Polar Low Frequency in the North Atlantic

pp. 99-110

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Corral, Álvaro; Turiel, Antonio

Variability of North Atlantic Hurricanes: Seasonal Versus Individual-Event Features

pp. 111-125

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Lazarus, Eli D.; Ashton, Andrew D.; Murray, A. Brad

Large-Scale Patterns in Hurricane-Driven Shoreline Change

pp. 127-138

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Bunde, Armin; Bogachev, Mikhail I.; Lennartz, Sabine

Precipitation and River Flow: Long-Term Memory and Predictability of Extreme Events

pp. 139-152

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Krishnamurthy, V.

Extreme Events and Trends in the Indian Summer Monsoon

pp. 153-168

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Tiwari, R. K.; Yadav, R. R.; Kaladhar Rao, K. P. C.

Empirical Orthogonal Function Spectra of Extreme Temperature Variability Decoded From Tree Rings of the Western Himalayas

pp. 169-176

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Lennartz, S.; Bunde, A.

On the Estimation of Natural and Anthropogenic Trends in Climate Records

pp. 177-189

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Tsonis, Anastasios A.

Climate Subsystems: Pacemakers of Decadal Climate Variability

pp. 191-208

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Mesa, O. J.; Gupta, V. K.; O'Connell, P. E.

Dynamical System Exploration of the Hurst Phenomenon in Simple Climate Models

pp. 209-229

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Lovejoy, S.; Schertzer, D.

Low-Frequency Weather and the Emergence of the Climate

pp. 231-254

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Baker, D. N.

Extreme Space Weather: Forecasting Behavior of a Nonlinear Dynamical System

pp. 255-265

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Lakhina, G. S.; Alex, S.; Tsurutani, B. T.; Gonzalez, W. D.

Supermagnetic Storms: Hazard to Society

pp. 267-278

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Bhattacharyya, A.

Development of Intermediate-Scale Structure in the Nighttime Equatorial Ionosphere

pp. 279-292

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Wanliss, James; Peterson, Joshua

Complex Analysis of Polar Auroras for 1996

pp. 293-298

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Watkins, N. W.; Hnat, B.; Chapman, S. C.

On Self-Similar and Multifractal Models for the Scaling of Extreme Bursty Fluctuations in Space Plasmas

pp. 299-313

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Schumann, Aicko Y.; Moloney, Nicholas R.; Davidsen, Jörn

Extreme Value and Record Statistics in Heavy-Tailed Processes With Long-Range Memory

pp. 315-334

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Santhanam, M. S.

Extreme Event Recurrence Time Distributions and Long Memory

pp. 335-344

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Pielke, Roger A., Sr.; Wilby, Rob; Niyogi, Dev; Hossain, Faisal; Dairuku, Koji; Adegoke, Jimmy; Kallos, George; Seastedt, Timothy; Suding, Katharine

Dealing With Complexity and Extreme Events Using a Bottom-Up, Resource-Based Vulnerability Perspective

pp. 345-359

[Abstract] | [Chapter] | [Full Text (PDF)]

Cited By

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