Recent Glacier Surges in the Karakoram Himalaya, South Central Asia


Kenneth Hewitt

Cold Regions Research Centre, Wilfrid Laurier University, 75 University Avenue West, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada N2L 3C5


Cite this material as: Recent Glacier Surges in the Karakoram Himalaya, South Central Asia by Kenneth Hewitt, http://www.agu.org/eos_elec/97016e.html, © 1998 American Geophysical Union.

Between 1994 and 1996 catastrophic movement of the 16-km-long Chiring Glacier transferred 1-1.5 km3 of ice from its upper two thirds to its lower third, and into the main Panmah Glacier of which it is a tributary. By October 1996, a lobe of Chiring ice some 3.2 km2 in area had entered and compressed the main glacier, which was severely disturbed for 3 km above and 5 km below the junction of the glaciers (Figure 1). Ice streams and medial moraines were pushed into a series of looped or "tear-drop" forms, well-known in surging glaciers. Despite an observational record back to 1856, it was not previously recognized that this glacier surges.

Surges are relatively short-lived episodes involving a sudden increase in ice movement by at least one order of magnitude, sometimes two orders, compared to presurge, and postsurge behavior [Meier and Post, 1969; Kamb et al, 1985]. This is achieved mainly by rapid sliding at the bed. One or more pulses of sharply accelerating flow also move down the glacier accompanied by a rise and severe crevassing of the ice surface. Surge events may last from a few months to several years [Dowdeswell et al, 1991]. While some advance the glacier terminus several kilometers in two or three months (see Eos, July 20 and November 9, 1993), others dissipate before reaching the terminus, especially those of tributary glaciers such as Chiring, but may lead to glacier advance later.

Surges can be serious hazards in populated areas, engulfing occupied land, generating sudden floods, or disrupting local communications below and across glaciers. They tend to recur in cycles peculiar to each glacier involved and out of phase with general patterns of glacier advance and retreat. In regions with many surging glaciers, of which the Karakoram Himalaya is one, surges complicate the normally rather sensitive relations between glaciers and climate.

Karakoram Glaciers and Surges

The Karakoram, lying immediately north of the western part of the greater Himalaya, is the highest of the southwest central Asian mountain systems. It has the largest concentration of glaciers on mainland Asia and outside high latitudes, with 8 glaciers over 50 km in length and more than 20 over 30 km. The perennial snow and ice cover, exceeding 16,000 km2, comprises a huge fresh water store in a generally arid, drought-prone region. Glacial meltwaters make a major contribution to the flow of the Indus and Yarkand Rivers and to the livelihood of some 130 million people.

In the last 100 years, 26 sudden, rapid advances have been reported involving 17 glaciers [Table 1, Appendix One; Hewitt, 1969]. At least 12 other glaciers have features associated with surge behavior (Figure 2). Only the Alaska-Yukon ranges and the Arctic islands of Svalburd have a greater number of reported surging glaciers. Even so, Karakoram surges are certainly underreported, especially those of tributary glaciers like Chiring, and we have few previous observations of surging behavior beyond the rapid advance of the terminus.

The Chiring Surge

Panmah Glacier, the sixth largest in the Karakoram, lies about 30 km due west of K2 (8,620 m) on the main watershed (Figure 2). Mid-nineteenth-century observations showed the Chiring contributing a large ice stream to the Panmah. Throughout the present century, however, it has wasted back and, by 1992, some 1.5 km of outwash plain separated its terminus from the main glacier. The recent surge has radically changed the appearance, length, and contribution of the Chiring.

The surge developed in the main ice stream and valley of the Chiring. By 1996, most of its upper area had collapsed 50B100 m below presurge levels, was heavily crevassed, and had impenetrable areas of seracs. Tributary glaciers were sheared off and, in turn, heavily crevassed as they collapsed toward the postsurge level of the main Chiring. The head of the surge was marked by large, arcuate crevasses concave downstream across the 4-km-wide basin where the uppermost tributaries converge. The highest crevasses were at about 5,450 m above sea level, and almost 15 km from the main glacier. The total distance over which surging occurred, or "surging length" was about 17 km, with an average fall of 86 m per km.

In its lower 5 km, the glacier was much thicker than in 1992, burying the former outwash plainC and our October 1992 base camp siteCunder 110B150 m of ice! Here were deep transverse crevasses across the central regions, 20B40 m apart, giving way in narrow lateral zones to crevasses angled sharply down glacier. However, by late 1996, the active ice was well below the full height of the surge.

Nine km along both flanks of the lower Chiring, huge masses of dead ice recorded the higher levels of the surge's passage. In places, the surge "trim-lines" rose 150 m above the postsurge active ice (Figure 3). Their height varied greatly and recorded thickening at constrictions and bends in the valley. This profile differed considerably from the surface slope of the glacier before and after the surge, which mainly reflects valley floor slope. Along the left/south flank the dead ice was plastered against the rockwalls, filled chutes, and embayments. Along the right/north flank it covered the lateral moraine ridges.

Particularly striking was a smooth wall of dirt-veneered ice, 15B25 m high and capping the highest morainic ridge at Skinmang (see Figure 1). It extended, almost unbroken, for 3.5 km. On closer inspection, this smooth, dense, unfractured ice proved to contain intensely folded and microfaulted, finely foliated sections, recording great strain in the surge. These remnants represent 2B3 x 107 m3 of surge ice abandoned by the subsiding ice stream and separated from active ice by marginal shear lines typical of Karakoram glaciers. Large masses of postsurge stagnant ice often occur in over-extended terminal areas. There seem to be no other reports of the same along the lateral margins.

 

At the head of the Chiring is the New Mustagh Pass (5,800 m), an ancient route to central Asia. The discovery that Chiring is a surging glacier gives a new slant to an old debate about the role of glacier fluctuations in historic closings of this and other glacier passes to Inner Asia [summarized by Shipton, 1938]. Maps, drawings, and photographs from 1856, 1861, 1929 and 1937 show the lower Chiring was easily crossed by travelers [Godwin-Austen, 1864; Desio, 1929; Shipton, 1938; and Kick, 1993]. Although altitude and bad weather posed problems, the upper glacier also offered a relatively straightforward traverse to the pass.

However, in 1887 a British explorer, Francis Younghusband, coming from the Chinese side, found the pass closed. After crossing by another route, he attempted to ascend the Chiring but found it impassable because of "... an immense ice-slip on to the glacier and gigantic blocks of ice... tumbled about on top of one another..." [Younghusband, 1896, 205B6]. His descriptions accord with the effects of a surge and strongly suggest that the Chiring last surged in 1885B87, giving a surge cycle of about 110 years.

There is evidence that the Chiring is not the only surging tributary of Panmah. Satellite imagery and earlier expedition reports show the Drenmang, immediately upstream, had surged twice in this century. Major changes occurred in the Maedan between 1856 and 1861, suggesting that a surge took place (Godwin-Austen, op cit). This tributary of the Chiring, just before it enters the main glacier, advanced 1.5 km between 1993 and 1996 (see Figure 2).

Comparative Features of Karakoram Glaciers and Surges

Surges raise some special and partly unresolved questions for glaciologists, including the conditions that initiate surging, the nature of fast glacier flow, and whether deposits left by surges can help identify their role in the history of glaciation. Sharp [1988] and Menzies [1995, pp. 179B199] provide useful summaries and bibliographies.

There is a consensus that, whatever the controlling factors and exact mechanisms, the key to surging lies in conditions that promote large, episodic instability at the glacier bed. Proposed trigger mechanisms include fluctuations in thermal or hydrological conditions or in deformable subglacial sediment, acting alone or in combination [Clarke et al, 1984; Kamb, 1987; Raymond, 1987].

Nevertheless, the geography of surges is highly uneven. There are large numbers in just a few regions, while none have been recognized in most glacierized areas. This suggests there are special but varying combinations of environmental conditions that promote or suppress surging. It is in relation to these questions that the Karakoram glaciers and the kinds of evidence available for them are of broadest scientific interest (Table 2).

These glaciers lie between 3,000 and 7,500 m above sea level, much higher than the more intensively studied examples of the Alaska-Yukon ranges, Svalbard, or Iceland. They lie in subtropical latitudes similar to examples in Andean Argentina and have an extreme continental location comparable to the nearby Pamir surging glaciers. However, there is heavy snowfall and year-round avalanching at high elevations, which promotes rates of flow and throughput of ice comparable to more humid conditions and maritime glaciers [Mercer, 1975; ed. Hewitt, 1990; Hewitt et al, 1989].

As with the Chiring, the glaciers are surrounded by precipitous rock walls of enormous extent and elevation range. This relates to, perhaps, their most distinctive feature. Many Karakoram glaciers, and all of those known to surge, are predominantly or wholly avalanche fed [von Klebelsberg, 1925B6]. The highest precipitation occurs in the perennial ice climate zone between 5,000 and 7,000 m [Hewitt, 1993]. Avalanches carry this more abundant snow directly to the glaciers. Much of it accumulates at or below the regional snow and firn limits, which are at about 5,000B5,500 m. The succession of relatively warm and dirty summer avalanches and cold winter ones can result in complex thermal layering and debris-rich horizons in the ice.

Avalanche-derived ice tends to be heavily freighted with debris. This relatively dirty ice contributes to higher melting rates in the upper and middle ablation zones, while thick supraglacial debris suppresses melting in the lower ablation zones. Enormous ramps of debris develop and build outward beside and beneath the ablation zones of these avalanche-fed glaciers [Goudie et al, 1984; Hewitt, 1993]. Surging may be influenced by an unusual buildup of deformable sediment beneath these zones and/or by unstable transitions from frozen to unfrozen bed conditions.

Karakoram surges occur in a highly active tectonic zone with globally extreme rates of uplift and denudation [Searle, 1991]. The glaciers drape the highest parts of the range, where a series of steeply inclined lithospheric thrust faults occur. However, structures and rock types are complex and poorly known where blanketed by snow and ice. Most surging glaciers cross two or more major formations. No specific or distinctive relationship of surging to lithology, indicated in some other regions, has yet been found. Hot springs are widespread across the region and it has been suggested they, or the geothermal heat flow implied, could be a factor in surges.

Studies in the Yukon Territory of Canada and Svalbard found that surge-type glaciers tend to be longer, wider, and of lower gradient than normal glaciers. We lack the data for a comparable analysis for the Karakoram, but it may be worth pointing out that its known and suspected surging glaciers are of short or intermediate length for the regionC6 km to 21 kmCand relatively steep. Meanwhile, no surges are recorded for more than 30 glaciers that are longer. Among the longest, widest, and lowest gradient glaciers, Siachen (75 km long), Biafo (68 km), Batura (60 km), Chogo Lungma (47 km), and Chiantar (35 km) have exhibited normal advance and retreat over the past one or two centuries [Mercer, 1975]. As with Panmah-Chiring, main glaciers not known to surge are much longer, of gentler slope, and wider than their surging tributaries.

The orientation of the watershed and ice stream seems to be unimportant or incidental to surging in Alaska-Yukon [Clarke, 1991]. However, two thirds of Karakoram surging ice streams originate mainly or wholly on slopes with a northerly aspect and most flow in a northerly direction. The one fifth with southerly orientation include the more extreme, high-elevation watersheds with steep-walled, avalanche-fed glaciers.

Surges and Climate Change

The new evidence reported here shifts the balance of interest toward surging tributary glaciers, over half the Karakoram examples identified to date. Five confirmed and three other possible tributary surges have occurred in the past decade (see Appendix, and Figure 2). Whether this number is really exceptional or an artifact of improved observation, it raises important questions of interpreting glacier fluctuations and their normally sensitive response to climate change.

It has been argued that nineteenth century "little-ice-age" behavior in the Karakoram is poorly correlated with the European Alps [Kick, 1989]. The favored explanation is that widespread, heavy debris covers on the ablation zones of Karakoram glaciers buffer them against climate change. However, while recognized, surging was not previously known to affect the very glaciers believed to be out of phase with the Alps. They include Panmah, Baltoro, Hispar, and Bualtar-Barpu. If surging had been as widespread as now appears, it would complicate the interpretation of all neoglacial and possibly Pleistocene glaciations in the region.

The Karakoram is of unusual interest and perhaps sensitive to climate change, since its glaciers lie within the variable influence of three major weather systems: the sub-Mediterranean regime of mainly winter, westerly storms; the summer monsoon; and the Tibetan anticyclone. Winter storms dominate glacier nourishment at present. However, nearly one third of the high-elevation snow accumulation we have measured occurs in summer [ed. Hewitt, 1990]. It has been argued that general patterns of advance and retreat in the region relate to changing vigor of the summer monsoon [Mayewski et al., 1980]. The possibility of such large shifts in the atmospheric sources, regime, and seasonal occurrence of glacier nourishment, does not seem to be a factor in other regions with surging glaciers. This seems to be a further reason to give more attention to surging glaciers in a relatively neglected region.

Fig. 1. The junction of the Chiring with the main glacier in October 1996 showing the results of the surge. The view looks southwest from a peak at 5,600 m above sea level. A lobe of Chiring ice has compressed the main glacier and created looped or "tear-drop" forms in its ice streams. Arrows in the left, near-ground identify "trim-lines" of stagnant ice left by the passage of the surge (see text). Here, the Chiring is roughly 1 km wide, the main glacier, 2.5 km wide (photo by author, September 27, 1996).
 

Fig. 2. The Karakoram Himalaya and its glacier cover, identifying known and suspected surging glaciers.
 


Fig. 3. View looking due west down the lower Chiring glacier. It shows the trim-line of sheared-off ice, left by the surge along the south/left flank of the glacier. The difference between present ice surface and trim-line exceeds 150 m in places. The ice stream is roughly 1 km wide in this section. Disturbed ice of the main glacier is just visible in the background, approximately 8 km away from the foreground (Photo by author, September 29, 1996).
 

APPENDIX ONE

Inventory of Glacier Surges in the Karakoram Himalaya

Date            Glacier (valley)                Surge                   Sources                 Location
                                                                                              (see Fig. 2)
        
1860s           (?) Karambar            Probable surge.         Hayward (1871)                  1
                (Gilgit-Ishkoman)       Damaging floods         Kreutzmann (1994)               
                                        on Gilgit R.
                                        1861 attrib. Karambar
                                        ice dam burst.

1860-61         "Maedan"                Probable surge pushing  Schlagentweit (1866)            VII
                Panmah tributary        aside Chiring and       Godwin-Austen (1864)
                (Braldu)                Nobande Sobande,
                                        overriding flanks and
                                        draining lakes.

1868-69         Aktash                  Teminus advanced        Shaw (1871)                     16
                                        1,600 m in three
                                        months

1886-87         Chiring, Panmah         "Immense ice-slip       Younghusband (1892)             12
                tributary (Braldu)      on glacier and          Shipton (1938)
                                        gigantic blocks
                                        of ice..." prevented
                                        crossing to Skinmang
                                        and access to 'New'
                                        Mustagh Pass

late 19th       Garumbar,               Approx. 2.5 km          Mason (1931)                    7
century         Hispar tributary        advance.

late 1800s      (?) Sumaiyar            Advanced to join        Conway (1894)                   V
                Bur-Burpu               Bualtar.
                (Hispar-Nagyr)

1890-92         Pumarikish tributary    Overriding lateral      Conway (1894)                   8
                (Hispar)                maraines and
                                        pushing main glacier
                                        aside.

1892-93         Minapin (Hunza)         370 m sudden            Mason (1930; 1935)              3
                                        advance. 1,200 m
                                        advance in all.

1893-95         Hassanabad (Hunza)      9.7 km in 2.5           Hayden (1907)                   2
                                        months. "...2 miles     Workman (1911)
                                        in present summer       Neve (1907)
                                        (1895)...then
                                        stopped..."

1895-1905       Karabar (Ishkoman)      Surge dammed river.     Todd (1930)                     1
                                        1905 glacier lake       Kreutzmann (1994)
                                        outburst and largest
                                        flood disaster on
                                        Gilgit River

1901-02         Yengutz Har             "2,600 m in spring"     Mason (1931)                    6
                (Hispar)                "...2 miles...in 8
                                        days"

1902-03         Aktash (Upper           Sudden, rapid           Longstaff (1910)                6
                Shyok)                  advance.

1902-03         Chogo Lungma            "...several miles..."   Workman and Workman             10
                tributary (Shigar-                              (1908)
                Basha)

1929-30         Bualtar (=Hopar)        550 m and further       Mason (1931)                    4
                (Hispar-Nagyr)          150 m during
                                        summer.

1930            Karambar                "...100 paces (in.)     Mason (1931)                    1
                (Gilgit-Ishkoman)       three weeks
                                        of March..."

1930            Sultan Chhussky         "...enormous push       Visser and Visser-Hooft         17
                (Upper Shyok)           forward...200-300       (1935-1938)
                                        million meters cubed
                                        of ice..."

c. 1931         Drenmang/Panmah         Reconstructed from      Shipton (1938 and               11
                tributary (Braldu)      location of surge lobe  unpublished)
                                        in Nobande Sobande
                                        in 1937.

1935-36         Aktash (Upper           2.5 km in 7 months      Lyall-Grant and Mason           16
                Shyok)                                          (1940)

1953            Kutiah (Stak Valley)    12 km in 2 months       Desio (1954)                    9
                                        March to early May      (Desio et al, 1961)


1955            Karambar                Surge blocked           Hewitt (unpubl. notes)          1
                (Gilgit-Ishkoman)       valley but Karambar
                                        R. maintained tunnel
                                        under the ice.

1958            (?) Aktash              Rapid advance.          Mercer (1975)                   16
                (Upper Shyok)

1974-77         Balt Bare (Hunza)       2 km rapid advance      Wang et al (1984)               5
                                        in 1976-77, preceded
                                        by huge debris flow
                                        in 1974

1977-78         Drenmang/Panmah         Rapid advance           Hewitt (unpubl. from            11
                tributary (Braldu)      oflobe into             satellite imagery)
                                        Nobande Sobande.

1986-90         Bualtar (=Hopar)        Two surges, one         Gardner and Hewitt              4
                (Hispar-Nagyr)          following rock          (1990)
                                        avalanche (1986-87,     Hewitt (unpubl. field
                                        and second in 1989-     notes)
                                        90, 2 km advance.

1988-89         Pumarikish/Hispar       1.5 km surge            Wake and Searle (1993)          8
                tributary               pushing main            
                (Hispar)                glacier aside.

1989-93         Lokpar/Alling           Surge of Lokpar         Hewitt (unpubl. field           13
                tributary               tributary followed      notes)
                (Shyok-Hushe)           by steepening and
                                        1.5 km+ advance of
                                        main terminus. Dam
                                        burst flood from ice
                                        margin lakes (1990).

1992            (?) Sumaiyar Bar/       Report of sudden,       Hewitt (unpubl. field           V
                Barpu tributary.        massive thickening      notes)
                (Hunza-Hispar)          and other surge-like
                                        behavior.

1993            Karambar                Surge began in April    Hewitt (unpubl. field           1
                (Gilgit-Ishkoman)       and glacier             notes
                                        advancing 7-10 m
                                        per day in June.

1993            (?) Masherbrum Gl.      Thickening and          Hewitt (unpubl. field           XI*
                (Hushe)                 surge-like behavior     notes)
                                        of upper glacier.

1994-96         Chiring/Panmah          Surge advanced          Hewitt (unpubl. field           12
                tributary               2.5 km, pushing         notes)
                (Braldu)                aside ice of main
                                        glacier.

1990s           Liligo tributary        2 km rapid advance      Hewitt (unpubl. from            14
                of Baltoro              to reach main glacier   satellite imagery)
                (Braldu)

1990s           Moni tributary &        2 km rapid advance      Hewitt (unpubl. from            15
                Sarpo Laggo             across and down         satellite imagery)
                (Shaksgaur)             main glacier.

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