Scientists have called for a substantial new investment in climate modeling to increase the accuracy, precision, and reliability of climate predictions. One group of authors stresses that concepts of reductionism and emergence will aid policy makers by helping to illuminate some uncertainties. Another group of authors questions whether better predictions, if even attainable, are needed; they argue instead that resources might be better spent in helping society adapt to the likely spectrum of climate-induced outcomes.

As published in Eos:

Do We Need Better Predictions to Adapt to a Changing Climate? By S. Dessai et al.

Predicting Climate Change: Lessons From Reductionism, Emergence, and the Past By S. Harrison and D. Stainforth