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JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 100, NO. A2, PAGES 1667–1675, 1995

Long-Term Total Solar Irradiance Variability During Sunspot Cycle 22

Robert B. Lee III

Atmospheric Sciences Division, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, Virginia

M. Alan Gibson

Science Applications International Corporation, Hampton, Virginia

Robert S. Wilson

Science Applications International Corporation, Hampton, Virginia

Susan Thomas

Science Applications International Corporation, Hampton, Virginia

Abstract

Total solar irradiance measurements from the 1984-1993 Earth Radiation Budget Satellite (ERBS) active cavity radiometer and 1978-1993 Nimbus 7 transfer cavity radiometer spacecraft experiments are analyzed to detect the presences of 11-, 22-, and 80-year irradiance variability components. The analyses confirmed the existence of a significant 11-year irradiance variability component, associated with solar magnetic activity and the sunspot cycle. The analyses also suggest the presence of a 22- or 80-year variability component. The earlier Nimbus 7 and Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) spacecraft irradiance measurements decreased approximately 1.2 and 1.3 Wm⁻², respectively, between 1980 and 1986. The Nimbus 7 values increased 1.2 Wm⁻² between 1986 and 1989. The ERBS irradiance measurements increased 1.3 Wm⁻² during 1986-1989, and then decreased 0.4 Wm⁻² (at an annual rate of 0.14 Wm⁻²yr⁻¹) during 1990-1993. Considering the correlations between ERBS, Nimbus 7, and SMM irradiance trends and solar magnetic activity, the total solar irradiance should decrease to minimum levels by 1997 as solar activity decreases to minimum levels, and then increase to maximum levels by the year 2000 as solar activity rises. The ERBS measurements yielded 1365.4 ± 0.7 Wm⁻² as the mean irradiance value with measurement accuracies and precisions of 0.2% and 0.02%, respectively. The ERBS mean irradiance value is within 0.2% of the 1367.4, 1365.9, and 1366.9 Wm⁻² mean values for the SMM, Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS), and Space Shuttle Atmospheric Laboratory for Applications and Science (ATLAS 1) Solar Constant (SOLCON) active cavity radiometer spacecraft experiments, respectively. The Nimbus 7 measurements yielded 1372.1 Wm⁻² as the mean value with a measurement accuracy of 0.5%. Empirical irradiance model fits, based upon 10.7-cm solar radio flux (F10) and photometric sunspot index (PSI), were used to assess the quality of the ERBS, Nimbus 7, SMM, and the UARS irradiance data sets and to identify irradiance variability trends which may be caused by drifts or shifts in the spacecraft sensor responses. Comparisons among the fits and measured irradiances indicate that the Nimbus 7 radiometer response shifted by a total of 0.8 Wm⁻² between September 1989 and April 1990 and that the ERBS and UARS radiometers each drifted approximately 0.5 Wm⁻² during the first 5 months in orbit.

Received 11 January 1994; accepted 2 November 1994.

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Citation: Lee, R. B., III, M. A. Gibson, R. S. Wilson, and S. Thomas (1995), Long-Term Total Solar Irradiance Variability During Sunspot Cycle 22, J. Geophys. Res., 100(A2), 1667–1675.

Copyright 1995 by the American Geophysical Union.