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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Index Terms

  • Global Change: Climate dynamics
  • Global Change: Atmosphere
  • Global Change: Oceans
  • Global Change: Instruments and techniques

Abstract

Reconciling observations of global temperature change

Richard S. Lindzen

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA

Constantine Giannitsis

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA

It is suggested that the much publicized discrepancy between observed surface global mean temperature and global mean atmospheric temperature from 1979 to the present may be due to the fact that the atmosphere underwent a jump in temperature in 1976 (before the satellite temperature series began), and that the surface response was delayed for about a decade due to the ocean heat capacity. The ocean delay depends on both climate sensitivity and vertical heat transport within the ocean. It is shown that the observed delay is best simulated when sensitivity to doubling of CO2 is less than about 1C.

Published 26 June 2002.

Citation: Lindzen, R. S., and C. Giannitsis (2002), Reconciling observations of global temperature change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(12), 1583, doi:10.1029/2001GL014074.

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