Abstract
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH,
VOL. 107,
4211,
12 PP., 2002
doi:10.1029/2001JD000560
Solar influences on cosmic rays and cloud formation: A reassessment
Solar influences on cosmic rays and cloud formation: A reassessment
Bomin Sun
Climate System Research Center, Department of Geosciences,
University of Massachusetts,
Amherst,
Massachusettts,
USA
Raymond S. Bradley
Climate System Research Center, Department of Geosciences,
University of Massachusetts,
Amherst,
Massachusettts,
USA
Svensmark and Friis-Christensen [1997]
proposed a “cosmic ray-cloud cover” hypothesis that cosmic ray flux, modulated by solar activity, may modify global cloud
cover and thus global surface temperature by increasing the number of ions in the atmosphere, leading to enhanced condensation
of water vapor and cloud droplet formation. We evaluate this idea by extending their period of study and examining long-term
surface-based cloud data (from national weather services and the Global Telecommunication System) as well as newer satellite
data (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) D2, 1983–1993). No meaningful relationship is found between
cosmic ray intensity and cloud cover over tropical and extratropical land areas back to the 1950s. The high cosmic ray-cloud
cover correlation in the period 1983–1991 over the Atlantic Ocean, the only large ocean area over which the correlation is
statistically significant, is greatly weakened when the extended satellite data set (1983–1993) is used. Cloud cover data
from ship observations over the North Atlantic, where measurements are denser, did not show any relationship with solar activity
over the period 1953–1995, though a large discrepancy exists between ISCCP D2 data and surface marine observations. Our analysis
also suggests that there is not a solid relationship between cosmic ray flux and low cloudiness as proposed by
Marsh and Svensmark [2000
].
Published 27
July
2002.
Citation: Sun, B., and R. S. Bradley
(2002),
Solar influences on cosmic rays and cloud formation: A reassessment,
J. Geophys. Res.,
107(D14),
4211,
doi:10.1029/2001JD000560.