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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Index Terms

  • Geodesy and Gravity: Crustal movements—interplate
  • Geodesy and Gravity: Seismic deformations
  • Seismology: Seismicity and seismotectonics
  • Tectonophysics: Plate boundary—general
  • Tectonophysics: Stresses—general

Abstract

A large silent earthquake in the Guerrero seismic gap, Mexico

Vladimir Kostoglodov

Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México, D.F., Mexico

Shri Krishna Singh

Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México, D.F., Mexico

Jose Antonio Santiago

Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México, D.F., Mexico

Sara Ivonne Franco

Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México, D.F., Mexico

Kristine M. Larson

Department of Aerospace Engineering Science, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA

Anthony R. Lowry

Department of Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA

Roger Bilham

Department of Geological Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA

Geodetic measurements from a network of permanent GPS stations along the Pacific coast of Mexico reveal a large “silent earthquake” along the segment of the Cocos-North American plate interface identified as the Guerrero seismic gap. The event began in October of 2001 and lasted for 6–7 months. Average slip of ∼10 cm produced measurable displacements over an area of ∼550 × 250 km2. The equivalent moment magnitude of the event was M w ∼ 7.5. Recognition of this and previous slow event here indicate that the seismogenic portion of the plate interface is not loading steadily, as hitherto believed, but is rather partitioning the stress buildup with episodic, as opposed to steady-state or periodic, slip downdip of the seismogenic zone. This process increases the stress at the base of the seismogenic zone, bringing it closer to failure. These results call for a reassessment of the seismic potential of Guerrero and other seismic gaps in Mexico.

Received 27 February 2003; accepted 29 April 2003; published 8 August 2003.

Citation: Kostoglodov, V., S. K. Singh, J. A. Santiago, S. I. Franco, K. M. Larson, A. R. Lowry, and R. Bilham (2003), A large silent earthquake in the Guerrero seismic gap, Mexico, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(15), 1807, doi:10.1029/2003GL017219.

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