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JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH,
VOL. 108, NO. C6,
3203,
doi:10.1029/2002JC001439,
2003
On the role of thermohaline advection and sea ice in glacial transitions
S. Kravtsov
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA
W. K. Dewar
Department of Oceanography, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Abstract
A two-dimensional, one-basin thermohaline oceanic circulation (THC) model coupled to an atmospheric energy balance model (EBM)
with land ice albedo effect and a thermodynamic sea ice model is used to study global climate on centennial, and longer, timescales.
The model is interpreted to represent the effect of the global ocean, rather than the Atlantic, as is commonly done. It is
forced by symmetric insolation and includes a diagnostic parameterization of the hydrologic cycle. Here the strength of the
ocean's haline forcing is controlled by a parameter, which reflects the effect of river runoff. This parameter is varied in
a set of experiments, which also differ by the magnitude of solar insolation. In wide ranges of the hydrologic cycle, multiple
climatic equilibria exist, consisting of circulations with different degrees of asymmetry. More symmetric states have a higher
global atmospheric temperature, characteristic of modern climate, whereas less symmetric states are colder and resemble glacial
conditions. The maximum global atmospheric temperature difference between such states is consistent with proxy-data-derived
temperature drop of about 4°C during the glacial, in contrast to EBM-only sensitivity of about 0.4°C. The mechanics of climate
transitions in the model are due to amplification of the orbitally induced global heat budget changes by a major reorganization
of the oceanic heat transport. In our model this reorganization is caused by the nonlinear dynamics of the ocean's THC, whose
stability regime shifts subject to variable external forcing. Sea ice enhances model climate sensitivity by anchoring deep-ocean
temperature to be near freezing [
Kravtsov, 2000
] and by affecting atmospheric temperature and land ice extent near the poles because of sea ice insulating properties.
Received 16
April
2002;
accepted 12
March
2003;
published 27
June
2003.
Index Terms: 1620 Global Change: Climate dynamics (3309); 3220 Mathematical Geophysics: Nonlinear dynamics; 4267 Oceanography: General: Paleoceanography; 4540 Oceanography: Physical: Ice mechanics and air/sea/ice exchange processes; 3367 Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics: Theoretical modeling.
Read Full Article (file size: 601152 bytes) Cited by
Citation: Kravtsov, S., and W. K. Dewar
(2003),
On the role of thermohaline advection and sea ice in glacial transitions,
J. Geophys. Res.,
108(C6),
3203,
doi:10.1029/2002JC001439.
Copyright 2003 by the American Geophysical Union.
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