FastFind »   Lastname: doi:10.1029/ Year: Advanced Search  

Eos | Eos Transactions, American Geophysical Union

 

Index Terms

  • Oceanography: Physical: Air/sea interactions (0312)
  • Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics: Ocean/atmosphere interactions (0312, 4504)
  • Oceanography: Physical: Upper ocean processes

Abstract

EOS, TRANSACTIONS AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION, VOL. 84, NO. 51, PAGE 573, 2003
doi:10.1029/2003EO510001

FEATURE

Ocean thermal structure monitoring could aid in the intensity forecast of tropical cyclones

Gustavo J. Goni

NOAA, Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, Fla.

Joaquin A. Trinanes

Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Fla.

Accurate prediction of the track and intensity of tropical cyclones is highly important for planning the evacuation of densely populated coastal areas and for impact assessment. Though forecasts of Atlantic hurricane tracks have improved greatly during recent years, large errors in intensity forecasts still remain. Dynamical and statistical models are currently being used, with a different range of success, to predict the location of tropical cyclone intensity changes. Statistical prediction models attempt to quantify the relationship between tropical cyclone intensification and variables that can be estimated or observed in real time.

Citation: Goni, G. J. and J. A. Trinanes (2003), Ocean thermal structure monitoring could aid in the intensity forecast of tropical cyclones, Eos Trans. AGU, 84(51), 573, doi:10.1029/2003EO510001.

Cited By

Please wait one moment ...