Abstract
EOS, TRANSACTIONS AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION,
VOL. 84, NO. 51,
PAGE 573, 2003
doi:10.1029/2003EO510001
FEATURE
Ocean thermal structure monitoring could aid in the intensity forecast of tropical cyclones
NOAA, Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, Fla.
Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Fla.
Accurate prediction of the track and intensity of tropical cyclones is highly important for planning the evacuation of densely populated coastal areas and for impact assessment. Though forecasts of Atlantic hurricane tracks have improved greatly during recent years, large errors in intensity forecasts still remain. Dynamical and statistical models are currently being used, with a different range of success, to predict the location of tropical cyclone intensity changes. Statistical prediction models attempt to quantify the relationship between tropical cyclone intensification and variables that can be estimated or observed in real time.
Citation: (2003), Ocean thermal structure monitoring could aid in the intensity forecast of tropical cyclones, Eos Trans. AGU, 84(51), 573, doi:10.1029/2003EO510001.
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