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AGU: Journal of Geophysical Research, Atmospheres

 

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  • Hydrology: Hydroclimatology
  • Hydrology: Snow and ice
  • Hydrology: Water/energy interactions
  • Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics: Numerical modeling and data assimilation
Abstract
Cited By (19)
 

Abstract

Snow process modeling in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS): 2. Evaluation of model simulated snow water equivalent

Ming Pan

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA

Justin Sheffield

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA

Eric F. Wood

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA

Kenneth E. Mitchell

National Centers for Environmental Prediction Environmental Modeling Center, NOAA/NWS, Camp Springs, Maryland, USA

Paul R. Houser

Hydrological Sciences Branch, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA

John C. Schaake

Office of Hydrologic Development, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA

Alan Robock

Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA

Dag Lohmann

National Centers for Environmental Prediction Environmental Modeling Center, NOAA/NWS, Camp Springs, Maryland, USA

Brian Cosgrove

Hydrological Sciences Branch, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA

Qingyun Duan

Office of Hydrologic Development, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA

Lifeng Luo

Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA

R. Wayne Higgins

National Centers for Environmental Protection Climate Prediction Center, NOAA/NWS, Camp Springs, Maryland, USA

Rachel T. Pinker

Department of Meteorology, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA

J. Dan Tarpley

Office of Research and Applications, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, Maryland, USA

This is the second part of a study on the cold season process modeling in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS). The first part concentrates on the assessment of model simulated snow cover extent. In this second part, the focus is on the evaluation of simulated snow water equivalent (SWE) from the four land surface models (Noah, MOSAIC, SAC and VIC) in the NLDAS. Comparisons are made with observational data from the Natural Resources Conservation Service's Snowpack Telemetry (SNOTEL) network for a 3-year retrospective period at selected sites in the mountainous regions of the western United States. All models show systematic low bias in the maximum annual simulated SWE that is most notable in the Cascade and Sierra Nevada regions where differences can approach 1000 mm. Comparison of NLDAS precipitation forcing with SNOTEL measurements revealed a large bias in the NLDAS annual precipitation which may be lower than the SNOTEL record by up to 2000 mm at certain stations. Experiments with the VIC model indicated that most of the bias in SWE is removed by scaling the precipitation by a regional factor based on the regression of the NLDAS and SNOTEL precipitation. Individual station errors may be reduced further still using precipitation scaled to the local station SNOTEL record. Furthermore, the NLDAS air temperature is shown to be generally colder in winter months and biased warmer in spring and summer when compared to the SNOTEL record, although the level of bias is regionally dependent. Detailed analysis at a selected station indicate that errors in the air temperature forcing may cause the partitioning of precipitation into snowfall and rainfall by the models to be incorrect and thus may explain some of the remaining errors in the simulated SWE.

Received 21 July 2003; accepted 24 September 2003; published 26 November 2003.

Citation: Pan, M., et al. (2003), Snow process modeling in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS): 2. Evaluation of model simulated snow water equivalent, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D22), 8850, doi:10.1029/2003JD003994.

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