Abstract
GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES,
VOL. 18,
GB2002,
18 PP., 2004
doi:10.1029/2003GB002156
Transient simulations of Holocene atmospheric carbon dioxide and terrestrial carbon since the Last Glacial Maximum
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Conflicting hypotheses are investigated for the observed atmospheric CO2 increase of 20 ppm between 8 ka BP and pre-industrial time. The carbon component of the Bern Carbon Cycle Climate (Bern CC)
model, which couples the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model to an atmosphere-ocean-sediment component, is driven
by climate fields from time-slice simulations of the past 21 ka with the Hadley Centre Unified Model or the NCAR Climate System
Model. The entire Holocene ice core record of CO2 is matched within a few ppm for the standard model setup, and results are broadly consistent with proxy data of atmospheric
13CO2, mean ocean δ13C, and pollen data, within their uncertainties. Our analysis suggests that a range of mechanisms, including calcite compensation
in response to earlier terrestrial uptake, terrestrial carbon uptake and release, SST changes, and coral reef buildup, contributed
to the 20 ppm rise. The deep sea δ13C record constrains the contribution of the calcite compensation mechanism to 4–10 ppm. Terrestrial carbon inventory changes
related to climate and CO2 forcing, the greening of the Sahara, peat buildup, and land use have probably influenced atmospheric CO2 by a few ppm only. The early Holocene CO2 decrease is quantitatively explained by terrestrial uptake and calcite compensation in response to terrestrial uptake during
the glacial-interglacial transition. The recent hypothesis by
Received 24 September 2003; accepted 18 February 2004; published 3 April 2004.
Citation: (2004), Transient simulations of Holocene atmospheric carbon dioxide and terrestrial carbon since the Last Glacial Maximum, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 18, GB2002, doi:10.1029/2003GB002156.
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