Abstract
Ocean freshening, sea level rising, sea ice melting
Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Scottish Association for Marine Science, Dunstaffnage Marine Laboratory, Oban, UK
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, La Jolla, California, USA
Estimates of 20th Century sea level rise are typically 1.5 to 2 mm/y, with a steric contribution of (0.5 ± 0.2) mm/y. Estimates
of the eustatic contribution vary widely between −1.1 and +1.3 mm/y. We attempt an independent estimate of eustatic sea level
rise based on the measured freshening of the global ocean, and with attention to the contribution from melting of sea ice
(which affects freshening but not sea level). Our estimate is based on a secular decrease in global average salinity estimated
by
Received 19 March 2004; accepted 6 May 2004; published 12 June 2004.
Citation: (2004), Ocean freshening, sea level rising, sea ice melting, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L11311, doi:10.1029/2004GL020039.
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