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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Index Terms

  • Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Evolution of the atmosphere
  • Global Change: Atmosphere
  • Global Change: Climate dynamics
  • Global Change: Remote sensing

Abstract

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 31, L22208, 4 PP., 2004
doi:10.1029/2004GL020937

Greenhouse forcing outweighs decreasing solar radiation driving rapid temperature rise over land

Rolf Philipona

Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos, World Radiation Center, Davos Dorf, Switzerland

Bruno Dürr

Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos, World Radiation Center, Davos Dorf, Switzerland

Since 1988, surface temperature over land in Europe increased three times faster than the northern hemisphere average. Here we contrast surface climatic and radiative parameters measured in central Europe over different time periods, including the extreme summer 2003, to pinpoint the role of individual radiative forcings in temperature increases. Interestingly, surface solar radiation rather decreases since 1981. Also, on an annual basis no net radiative cooling or warming is observed under changing cloud amounts. However, high correlation (r T = 0.86) to increasing temperature is found with total heating radiation at the surface, and very high correlation (r T = 0.98) with cloud-free longwave downward radiation. Preponderance of longwave downward radiative forcing suggests rapidly increasing greenhouse warming, which outweighs the decreasing solar radiation measured at the surface and drives rapid temperature increases over land.

Received 6 July 2004; accepted 25 October 2004; published 25 November 2004.

Citation: Philipona, R., and B. Dürr (2004), Greenhouse forcing outweighs decreasing solar radiation driving rapid temperature rise over land, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L22208, doi:10.1029/2004GL020937.

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