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AGU: Journal of Geophysical Research, Atmospheres

 

Keywords

  • climate models
  • cloud modeling
  • seasonal variation of clouds

Index Terms

  • Atmospheric Processes: Clouds and cloud feedbacks
  • Atmospheric Processes: Global climate models
  • Atmospheric Processes: Theoretical modeling
  • Global Change: Global climate models
  • Global Change: Climate dynamics
Abstract
Cited By (60)
 

Abstract

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 110, D15S02, 18 PP., 2005
doi:10.1029/2004JD005021

Comparing clouds and their seasonal variations in 10 atmospheric general circulation models with satellite measurements

M. H. Zhang

Institute For Terrestrial and Planetary Atmospheres, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, USA

W. Y. Lin

Institute For Terrestrial and Planetary Atmospheres, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, USA

S. A. Klein

NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA

J. T. Bacmeister

NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA

S. Bony

Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Centre Nationale de Recherche Scientifique, Paris, France

R. T. Cederwall

Atmospheric Science Division, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California, USA

A. D. Del Genio

NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York, USA

J. J. Hack

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA

N. G. Loeb

NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, Virginia, USA

U. Lohmann

Department of Physics and Atmospheric Science, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

P. Minnis

NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, Virginia, USA

I. Musat

Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Centre Nationale de Recherche Scientifique, Paris, France

R. Pincus

NOAA Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Studies, Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA

P. Stier

Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany

M. J. Suarez

NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA

M. J. Webb

Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, UK Met Office, Bracknell, UK

J. B. Wu

Institute For Terrestrial and Planetary Atmospheres, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, USA

S. C. Xie

Atmospheric Science Division, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California, USA

M.-S. Yao

NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York, USA

J. H. Zhang

Department of Physics and Atmospheric Science, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

To assess the current status of climate models in simulating clouds, basic cloud climatologies from ten atmospheric general circulation models are compared with satellite measurements from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) and the Clouds and Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) program. An ISCCP simulator is employed in all models to facilitate the comparison. Models simulated a four-fold difference in high-top clouds. There are also, however, large uncertainties in satellite high thin clouds to effectively constrain the models. The majority of models only simulated 30–40% of middle-top clouds in the ISCCP and CERES data sets. Half of the models underestimated low clouds, while none overestimated them at a statistically significant level. When stratified in the optical thickness ranges, the majority of the models simulated optically thick clouds more than twice the satellite observations. Most models, however, underestimated optically intermediate and thin clouds. Compensations of these clouds biases are used to explain the simulated longwave and shortwave cloud radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere. Seasonal sensitivities of clouds are also analyzed to compare with observations. Models are shown to simulate seasonal variations better for high clouds than for low clouds. Latitudinal distribution of the seasonal variations correlate with satellite measurements at >0.9, 0.6–0.9, and −0.2–0.7 levels for high, middle, and low clouds, respectively. The seasonal sensitivities of cloud types are found to strongly depend on the basic cloud climatology in the models. Models that systematically underestimate middle clouds also underestimate seasonal variations, while those that overestimate optically thick clouds also overestimate their seasonal sensitivities. Possible causes of the systematic cloud biases in the models are discussed.

Received 14 May 2004; accepted 26 November 2004; published 3 May 2005.

Citation: Zhang, M. H., et al. (2005), Comparing clouds and their seasonal variations in 10 atmospheric general circulation models with satellite measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D15S02, doi:10.1029/2004JD005021.

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