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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Index Terms

  • Global Change: Climate variability
  • Global Change: Regional climate change
  • Oceanography: Physical: Decadal ocean variability
  • Planetary Sciences: Fluid Planets: Tidal forces
  • Geographic Location: Arctic region

Abstract

The impacts of the Luni-Solar oscillation on the Arctic oscillation

Renato Ramos da Silva

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA

Roni Avissar

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA

The Arctic Oscillation (AO) has a major impact on climate variability in the extra tropical regions of the Northern Hemisphere. In this study, we show that specific alignments between the Sun, the Moon and the Earth known as the Luni-Solar Oscillation (LSO) that occur at frequencies of nearly 9 and 18 years are unambiguously correlated with the AO since the mid-1960's. The occurrence of the LSO peaks is predictable and, as a result, it improves climate predictability. Furthermore, we hypothesize that the recent observed increase in the AO amplitude maybe due to ice melting in the Arctic and SST increases at northern latitudes combined with the recent LSO peaks.

Received 5 May 2005; accepted 2 October 2005; published 19 November 2005.

Citation: Ramos da Silva, R., and R. Avissar (2005), The impacts of the Luni-Solar oscillation on the Arctic oscillation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L22703, doi:10.1029/2005GL023418.

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