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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Index Terms

  • Hydrology: Drought
  • Hydrology: Eco-hydrology
  • Hydrology: Climate impacts
  • Hydrology: Soil moisture
  • Biogeosciences: Ecosystems, structure and dynamics

Abstract

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 32, L21408, 4 PP., 2005
doi:10.1029/2005GL024247

Hydrologic resilience of the terrestrial biosphere

Dieter Gerten

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

Wolfgang Lucht

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

Sibyll Schaphoff

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

Wolfgang Cramer

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

Thomas Hickler

Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystems Analysis, Lund University, Lund, Sweden

Wolfgang Wagner

Institute of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Vienna University of Technology, Vienna, Austria

We quantify the extent to which net primary production (NPP) of terrestrial ecosystems is water-limited under future atmospheric CO2 enrichment and climate change. Analysis is based on spatially explicit simulations with a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (DGVM) forced by climate projections from five different General Circulation Models (GCMs) under one emission scenario. We find for many but not all regions that NPP will be less water-limited despite concurrent declines in soil moisture, owing to a frail balance of unfavorable climate effects on soil moisture, reduced transpiration by CO2-induced lower stomatal aperture, and continuous acclimation of vegetation.

Received 29 July 2005; accepted 10 October 2005; published 8 November 2005.

Citation: Gerten, D., W. Lucht, S. Schaphoff, W. Cramer, T. Hickler, and W. Wagner (2005), Hydrologic resilience of the terrestrial biosphere, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L21408, doi:10.1029/2005GL024247.

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