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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Index Terms

  • Global Change: Impacts of global change
  • Nonlinear Geophysics: Complex systems
  • Oceanography: Physical: Nearshore processes
  • Oceanography: Physical: Sediment transport

Abstract

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 33, L18404, 6 PP., 2006
doi:10.1029/2006GL027445

Coastline responses to changing storm patterns

Jordan M. Slott

Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA

A. Brad Murray

Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA

Andrew D. Ashton

Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA

Thomas J. Crowley

Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA

Researchers and coastal managers are pondering how accelerated sea-level rise and possibly intensified storms will affect shorelines. These issues are most often investigated in a cross-shore profile framework, fostering the implicit assumption that coastline responses will be approximately uniform in the alongshore direction. However, experiments with a recently developed numerical model of coastline change on a large spatial domain suggest that the shoreline responses to climate change could be highly variable. As storm and wave climates change, large-scale coastline shapes are likely to shift—causing areas of greatly accelerated coastal erosion to alternate with areas of considerable shoreline accretion. On complex-shaped coastlines, including cuspate-cape and spit coastlines, the alongshore variation in shoreline retreat rates could be an order of magnitude higher than the baseline retreat rate expected from sea-level rise alone.

Received 3 July 2006; accepted 14 August 2006; published 20 September 2006.

Citation: Slott, J. M., A. B. Murray, A. D. Ashton, and T. J. Crowley (2006), Coastline responses to changing storm patterns, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L18404, doi:10.1029/2006GL027445.

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