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Read Full Article (file size: 385868 bytes) Cited by
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,
VOL. 34,
L04815,
doi:10.1029/2006GL028836,
2007
A globally consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends
J. P. Kossin
Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA
K. R. Knapp
National Climatic Data Center, NOAA, Asheville, North Carolina, USA
D. J. Vimont
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA
R. J. Murnane
Risk Prediction Initiative, Bermuda Institute of Ocean Sciences, Garrett Park, Maryland, USA
B. A. Harper
Systems Engineering Australia Pty. Ltd., Bridgeman Downs, Queensland, Australia
Abstract
Recently documented trends in the existing records of hurricane intensity and their relationship to increasing sea surface
temperatures suggest that hurricane intensity may be increasing due to global warming. However, it is presently being argued
that the existing global hurricane records are too inconsistent to accurately measure trends. As a first step in addressing
this debate, we constructed a more homogeneous global record of hurricane intensity and found that previously documented trends
in some ocean basins are well supported, but in others the existing records contain trends that may be inflated or spurious.
Received 22
November
2006;
accepted 30
January
2007;
published 28
February
2007.
Keywords: climate change;
hurricane;
reanalysis.
Index Terms: 1630 Global Change: Impacts of global change (1225); 3305 Atmospheric Processes: Climate change and variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513); 3374 Atmospheric Processes: Tropical meteorology.
Read Full Article (file size: 385868 bytes) Cited by
Citation: Kossin, J. P., K. R. Knapp, D. J. Vimont, R. J. Murnane, and B. A. Harper
(2007),
A globally consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends,
Geophys. Res. Lett.,
34,
L04815,
doi:10.1029/2006GL028836.
Copyright 2007 by the American Geophysical Union.
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