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AGU: Journal of Geophysical Research, Atmospheres

 

Keywords

  • air temperature
  • global warming
  • climate change
  • surface temperature
  • historical climate network
  • climate uncertainty

Index Terms

  • Global Change
  • Global Change: Regional climate change
  • Atmospheric Processes: Climatology
  • Atmospheric Processes: Climate change and variability
  • Atmospheric Processes: Land/atmosphere interactions
Abstract
Cited By (15)
 

Abstract

Unresolved issues with the assessment of multidecadal global land surface temperature trends

Roger A. Pielke Sr.

University of Colorado, CIRES/ATOC, Boulder, Colorado, USA

Christopher A. Davey

Desert Research Institute, Reno, Nevada, USA

Dev Niyogi

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA

Department of Agronomy, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA

Souleymane Fall

Department of Agronomy, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA

Jesse Steinweg-Woods

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA

Department of Agronomy, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA

Ken Hubbard

School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, Nebraska, USA

Xiaomao Lin

School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, Nebraska, USA

Ming Cai

Department of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, USA

Young-Kwon Lim

Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, USA

Hong Li

Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA

John Nielsen-Gammon

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA

Kevin Gallo

Center for Satellite Applications and Research (STAR), National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS), NOAA, Camp Springs, Maryland, USA

Robert Hale

CIRA, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA

Rezaul Mahmood

Department of Geography and Geology, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, Kentucky, USA

Stuart Foster

Department of Geography and Geology, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, Kentucky, USA

Richard T. McNider

Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, Alabama, USA

Peter Blanken

Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA

This paper documents various unresolved issues in using surface temperature trends as a metric for assessing global and regional climate change. A series of examples ranging from errors caused by temperature measurements at a monitoring station to the undocumented biases in the regionally and globally averaged time series are provided. The issues are poorly understood or documented and relate to micrometeorological impacts due to warm bias in nighttime minimum temperatures, poor siting of the instrumentation, effect of winds as well as surface atmospheric water vapor content on temperature trends, the quantification of uncertainties in the homogenization of surface temperature data, and the influence of land use/land cover (LULC) change on surface temperature trends. Because of the issues presented in this paper related to the analysis of multidecadal surface temperature we recommend that greater, more complete documentation and quantification of these issues be required for all observation stations that are intended to be used in such assessments. This is necessary for confidence in the actual observations of surface temperature variability and long-term trends.

Received 7 November 2006; accepted 14 May 2007; published 29 December 2007.

Citation: Pielke, R. A., et al. (2007), Unresolved issues with the assessment of multidecadal global land surface temperature trends, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D24S08, doi:10.1029/2006JD008229.

Cited By

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