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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Keywords

  • Lagrangian prediction
  • real time directed launch

Index Terms

  • Computational Geophysics: Modeling
  • Oceanography: General: Coastal processes
  • Oceanography: General: Ocean observing systems
  • Oceanography: General: Ocean predictability and prediction

Abstract

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 34, L10605, 5 PP., 2007
doi:10.1029/2007GL029634

Model-based directed drifter launches in the Adriatic Sea: Results from the DART experiment

A. C. Haza

Division of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Miami, Miami, Florida, USA

A. Griffa

Division of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Miami, Miami, Florida, USA

Istituto di Scienze Marine, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, La Spezia, Italy

P. Martin

Ocean Dynamics and Prediction Branch, Oceanography Division, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, Mississippi, USA

A. Molcard

Laboratoire de Sondage de l'Environnement Electromagnetique Terrestre, Univiversité de Toulon, Toulon, France

T. M. Özgökmen

Division of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Miami, Miami, Florida, USA

A. C. Poje

Department of Mathematics, College of Staten Island, City University of New York, Staten Island, New York, USA

R. Barbanti

Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e Geofisica Sperimentale, Trieste, Italy

J. W. Book

Ocean Dynamics and Prediction Branch, Oceanography Division, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, Mississippi, USA

P. M. Poulain

Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e Geofisica Sperimentale, Trieste, Italy

M. Rixen

NATO Undersea Research Center, La Spezia, Italy

P. Zanasca

NATO Undersea Research Center, La Spezia, Italy

A high-resolution numerical model of the Adriatic Sea is used to predict Lagrangian coherent structure boundaries, quantified by finite-size Lyapunov exponents (FSLE), for flow features in the region of the Gargano Peninsula during the course of the Dynamics of the Adriatic in Real Time (DART) observational program. FSLE fields computed from two-day model forecasts of the surface velocity indicate distinct regions of high relative drifter dispersion. Model predictions of such regions located on available ship-tracks were used to direct the launching of pairs of surface drifters on three days during March 2006, with the goal of maximize coverage of the sampling area. For two of the three launches, the observed trajectories separated at locations and along directions closely approximated by those predicted from the model FSLE fields. The third case acted as an inadvertent control experiment. Model predictions at release-time showed minimal FSLE structure at the launch locations and the observed drifter pair advected in a coherent fashion for two days. While there are considerable differences between individual drifter observations and trajectory envelopes computed from ensembles of synthetic drifters, the experiment confirms the model's ability to approximate the location and shape of energetic flow features controlling the near-time fate of quasi-Lagrangian particles. Overall, the combined use of FSLEs with realistic coastal circulation models appears to be a promising avenue to aid real-time-directed drifter launches in observational programs.

Received 9 February 2007; accepted 19 April 2007; published 23 May 2007.

Citation: Haza, A. C., et al. (2007), Model-based directed drifter launches in the Adriatic Sea: Results from the DART experiment, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L10605, doi:10.1029/2007GL029634.

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