FastFind »   Lastname: doi:10.1029/ Year: Advanced Search  

AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Keywords

  • tsunami
  • earthquake
  • rupture

Index Terms

  • Mathematical Geophysics: Probabilistic forecasting
  • Oceanography: Physical: Tsunamis and storm surges
  • Seismology: Subduction zones
  • Geographic Location: Pacific Ocean

Abstract

Tsunami forecast using an adaptive inverse algorithm for the Peru-Chile source region

Alejandro Sánchez

Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Engineer Research and Development Center, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Vicksburg, Mississippi, USA

Kwok Fai Cheung

Department of Ocean and Resources Engineering, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA

The inverse method provides tsunami forecasts through regression of near-field water-level data against a set of mareograms computed for unit slip of predetermined subfaults. The present paper describes an improvement to this inverse method by resolving the timing of subfault movement in the inversion. This provides additional degrees of freedom in the regression analysis and accounts for rupture propagation and rise time of tsunamigenic earthquakes. The method is implemented for the Peru-Chile subduction zone, in which the seismic source parameters are deduced from previous studies of seismotectonics and historical earthquakes. A hindcast analysis of the 1995 Antofagasta-Chile tsunami demonstrates the capability of the adaptive inverse algorithm in improving the near-field inversion results and consequently the far-field forecast.

Received 26 March 2007; accepted 29 May 2007; published 7 July 2007.

Citation: Sánchez, A., and K. F. Cheung (2007), Tsunami forecast using an adaptive inverse algorithm for the Peru-Chile source region, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L13605, doi:10.1029/2007GL030158.

Cited By

Please wait one moment ...