Abstract
Anthropogenic aerosol forcing and the structure of temperature trends in the southern Indian Ocean
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
Wealth from Oceans National Research Flagship, CSIRO, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
Wealth from Oceans National Research Flagship, CSIRO, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
Department of Biological and Physical Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia
Department of Biological and Physical Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
Over the past decades surface warming in the southern subtropical Indian Ocean (IO) has been greater than that in other oceans. The warming penetrates to a depth of 800 m, in contrast to the off-equatorial surface warming which co-exists with subsurface cooling. We examine the dynamics for this rich structure. Results from the 20th century experiments of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) confirm that the southern subtropical IO surface-to-800 m warming is greater than that in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. Outputs from two targeted ensemble sets of coupled model experiments, one with and one without increasing anthropogenic aerosols, show that increasing aerosols strengthen the global Conveyor, and generate a greater poleward shift and intensification of the Agulhas outflow and its retroflection; the process increases the warming rate in the subtropics, and takes heat out of the off-equatorial region generating a cooling.
Received 16 April 2007; accepted 18 June 2007; published 31 July 2007.
Citation: (2007), Anthropogenic aerosol forcing and the structure of temperature trends in the southern Indian Ocean, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L14611, doi:10.1029/2007GL030380.
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