Abstract
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,
VOL. 35,
L06308,
4 PP., 2008
doi:10.1029/2007GL032710
A model of volcanic magma transport by fracturing stress mechanisms
Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, Università di Napoli “Federico II,” Naples, Italy
INFN, Naples, Italy
Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, Università di Napoli “Federico II,” Naples, Italy
Coherentia-CNR-INFM, Naples, Italy
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Università di Napoli “Federico II,” Naples, Italy
Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, Università di Napoli “Federico II,” Naples, Italy
INFN, Naples, Italy
Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, Università di Napoli “Federico II,” Naples, Italy
Coherentia-CNR-INFM, Naples, Italy
Dipartimento di Fisica, Università di Roma Tre, Rome, Italy
Understanding the mechanisms of magma ascent preceding eruptions, and in particular the subvolcanic system that stores and transports magma to the surface, is of crucial relevance for hazard and risk assessment. We propose here a statistical model describing the rise of magma from the reservoir through the transport region via stress induced fracturing mechanisms of the medium. The model reproduces the general statistical properties of erupted volume, P(V), and inter-eruption time, P(t), found in catalogue data for closed conduit volcanoes. We also investigate conditional distribution (e.g., the probability, P(V∣t), to have a volume, V, erupted after a waiting time, t), which can have important practical implications.
Received 27 November 2007; accepted 20 February 2008; published 22 March 2008.
Citation: (2008), A model of volcanic magma transport by fracturing stress mechanisms, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L06308, doi:10.1029/2007GL032710.
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