Abstract
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,
VOL. 35,
L14709,
5 PP., 2008
doi:10.1029/2008GL033761
Variation of mean sea surface temperature and modulation of El Niño–Southern Oscillation variance during the past 150 years
Department of Geography and Center for Atmospheric Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, California, USA
Department of Geography and Center for Atmospheric Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, California, USA
Department of Oceanography, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
Evidence is presented that the dominant non-trend mode of interdecadal global SST variations is linked to significant modulation of ENSO variance during the past 150 years. The mode resembles the interhemispheric SST pattern linked to Sahel rainfall changes, with colder northern hemisphere conditions co-incident with higher ENSO variance. Simulations of an intermediate coupled global climate model demonstrate that this global SST pattern can drive the interdecadal changes to ENSO variance. The influence on the ENSO dynamics comes primarily from the portion of the SST change local to the tropical Pacific, which is warm over the entire equatorial Pacific particularly in the southeast during times of stronger ENSO activity. We speculate that the warming equatorial SST causes ENSO events occur earlier and thus have longer time to develop, as well as enhancing the vertical temperature gradient and thus increasing the effectiveness of oceanic entrainment.
Received 24 February 2008; accepted 8 May 2008; published 31 July 2008.
Citation: (2008), Variation of mean sea surface temperature and modulation of El Niño–Southern Oscillation variance during the past 150 years, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L14709, doi:10.1029/2008GL033761.
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