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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Keywords

  • Northern Annular Mode
  • spring
  • western United States

Index Terms

  • Global Change: Regional climate change
  • Global Change: Climate dynamics
  • Hydrology: Drought
  • Geographic Location: North America

Abstract

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L17701, 5 PP., 2008
doi:10.1029/2008GL034828

Northern Annular Mode impact on spring climate in the western United States

Stephanie A. McAfee

Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA

Joellen L. Russell

Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA

Shifts in stormtrack position associated with the Northern Annular Mode (NAM) are linked to temperature changes and reduced spring precipitation in the western United States. During the transition to spring following a high-index winter, weakening of the stormtrack over the northeastern Pacific Ocean and western United States is shown to lead to warmer and drier conditions west of the Rocky Mountains and increased precipitation just east of the Rocky Mountains, consistent with observations of early spring onset in the western United States. Given projected increases in the average annular mode index and associated poleward shifts in the stormtrack, this analysis provides additional evidence that much of the western United States will experience more severe drought conditions over the next several decades, irrespective of changes in temperature, because of an earlier shift to warm-season circulation patterns.

Received 29 May 2008; accepted 22 July 2008; published 3 September 2008.

Citation: McAfee, S. A., and J. L. Russell (2008), Northern Annular Mode impact on spring climate in the western United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L17701, doi:10.1029/2008GL034828.

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