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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Keywords

  • tropical cyclone
  • global cloud-resolving model
  • MJO

Index Terms

  • Atmospheric Processes: Convective processes
  • Atmospheric Processes: Tropical meteorology
  • Oceanography: General: Numerical modeling

Abstract

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L22808, 6 PP., 2008
doi:10.1029/2008GL036003

Global cloud-system-resolving model NICAM successfully simulated the lifecycles of two real tropical cyclones

Hironori Fudeyasu

International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA

Yuqing Wang

International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA

Masaki Satoh

Center for Climate System Research, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan

Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan

Tomoe Nasuno

Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan

Hiroaki Miura

Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan

Wataru Yanase

Center for Climate System Research, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan

The increasing capability of high-end computers allows numerical simulations with horizontal resolutions high enough to resolve cloud systems in a global model. In this paper, initial results from the global Nonhydrostatic ICosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM) are highlighted to demonstrate the beginning of a potentially new era for weather and climate predictions with global cloud-system-resolving models. The NICAM simulation with a horizontal resolution of about 7 km successfully reproduced the lifecycles of two real tropical cyclones that formed in Indian Ocean in the austral summer 2006. Initialized with the atmospheric conditions 1-2 weeks before the cyclones genesis, the model captured reasonably not only the timing of the observed cyclone geneses but also their motions and mesoscale structures. The model provides a high temporal/spatial resolution dataset for detailed studies of mesoscale aspects of tropical cyclone genesis. These promising results suggest the predictability of tropical cyclones by high-resolution global cloud-system-resolving models.

Received 12 September 2008; accepted 17 October 2008; published 25 November 2008.

Citation: Fudeyasu, H., Y. Wang, M. Satoh, T. Nasuno, H. Miura, and W. Yanase (2008), Global cloud-system-resolving model NICAM successfully simulated the lifecycles of two real tropical cyclones, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L22808, doi:10.1029/2008GL036003.

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