FastFind »   Lastname: doi:10.1029/ Year: Advanced Search  

AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Keywords

  • Australia
  • drought
  • Indian Ocean dipole

Index Terms

  • Atmospheric Processes: Climate change and variability
  • Geographic Location: Indian Ocean
  • Geographic Location: Australia
  • Hydrology: Drought

Abstract

What causes southeast Australia's worst droughts?

Caroline C. Ummenhofer

Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Matthew H. England

Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Peter C. McIntosh

Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

Gary A. Meyers

Integrated Marine Observing System, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

Michael J. Pook

Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

James S. Risbey

Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

Alexander Sen Gupta

Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Andréa S. Taschetto

Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Since 1995, a large region of Australia has been gripped by the most severe drought in living memory, the so-called “Big Dry”. The ramifications for affected regions are dire, with acute water shortages for rural and metropolitan areas, record agricultural losses, the drying-out of two of Australia's major river systems and far-reaching ecosystem damage. Yet the drought's origins have remained elusive. For Southeast Australia, we show here that the “Big Dry” and other iconic 20th Century droughts, including the Federation Drought (1895–1902) and World War II drought (1937–1945), are driven by Indian Ocean variability, not Pacific Ocean conditions as traditionally assumed. Specifically, a conspicuous absence of Indian Ocean temperature conditions conducive to enhanced tropical moisture transport has deprived southeastern Australia of its normal rainfall quota. In the case of the “Big Dry”, its unprecedented intensity is also related to recent higher temperatures.

Received 26 November 2008; accepted 22 January 2009; published 24 February 2009.

Citation: Ummenhofer, C. C., M. H. England, P. C. McIntosh, G. A. Meyers, M. J. Pook, J. S. Risbey, A. S. Gupta, and A. S. Taschetto (2009), What causes southeast Australia's worst droughts?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04706, doi:10.1029/2008GL036801.

Cited By

Please wait one moment ...