FastFind »   Lastname: doi:10.1029/ Year: Advanced Search  

AGU: Journal of Geophysical Research, Atmospheres

 

Keywords

  • rainfall charateristics

Index Terms

  • Global Change: Regional climate change
  • Global Change: Climate variability
  • Global Change: Atmosphere
  • Atmospheric Processes: Climate change and variability
  • Atmospheric Processes: Climatology
Abstract
Cited By (0)
 

Abstract

Changes in the characteristics of rain events in India

S. K. Dash

Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India

Makarand A. Kulkarni

Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India

U. C. Mohanty

Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India

K. Prasad

Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India

Daily gridded (1° × 1°) rainfall data prepared by the India Meteorological Department for the period 1951–2004 have been used in this study to examine possible changes in the frequency of rain events in India in terms of their duration and intensity per day. So far as the duration is concerned, a rain event is classified as short, long, dry, or prolonged dry spell. Similarly in terms of intensity, a rainy day is considered as low, moderate, or heavy. Changes in the frequency of these events have great relevance from the point of view of climate change. Threshold and limiting values for defining the heavy and moderate rain days are calculated in accordance with the gamma probability distribution. Results show that the frequencies of moderate and low rain days considered over the entire country have significantly decreased in the last half century. On the basis of the duration of rain events it is inferred that long spells show a significant decreasing trend over India as a whole while short and dry spells indicate an increasing tendency with 5% significance. The characteristics of rain events are also examined over six homogenous rainfall zones separately since the spatial distribution of rainfall over India shows large variability. In this study, the changes in the frequencies of different categories of rain events suggest weakening of the summer monsoon circulation over India. This hypothesis of a weakening of monsoon circulation is supported by significant reduction in the 850 hPa wind fields in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalyzed data set.

Received 10 June 2008; accepted 23 February 2009; published 29 May 2009.

Citation: Dash, S. K., M. A. Kulkarni, U. C. Mohanty, and K. Prasad (2009), Changes in the characteristics of rain events in India, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D10109, doi:10.1029/2008JD010572.

Cited By

Please wait one moment ...