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AGU: Journal of Geophysical Research, Atmospheres

 

Keywords

  • aerosol modelling
  • weather forecast

Index Terms

  • Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Aerosols and particles
  • Global Change: Earth system modeling
  • Atmospheric Processes: Clouds and aerosols
Abstract
Cited By (8)
 

Abstract

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 114, D06206, 17 PP., 2009
doi:10.1029/2008JD011235

Aerosol analysis and forecast in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecast System: Forward modeling

J.-J. Morcrette

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

O. Boucher

Met Office, Exeter, UK

L. Jones

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

D. Salmond

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

P. Bechtold

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

A. Beljaars

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

A. Benedetti

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

A. Bonet

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

J. W. Kaiser

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

M. Razinger

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

M. Schulz

Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-sur-Yvette, France

S. Serrar

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

A. J. Simmons

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

M. Sofiev

Air Quality Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland

M. Suttie

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

A. M. Tompkins

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

A. Untch

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

This paper presents the aerosol modeling now part of the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS). It includes new prognostic variables for the mass of sea salt, dust, organic matter and black carbon, and sulphate aerosols, interactive with both the dynamics and the physics of the model. It details the various parameterizations used in the IFS to account for the presence of tropospheric aerosols. Details are given of the various formulations and data sets for the sources of the different aerosols and of the parameterizations describing their sinks. Comparisons of monthly mean and daily aerosol quantities like optical depths against satellite and surface observations are presented. The capability of the forecast model to simulate aerosol events is illustrated through comparisons of dust plume events. The ECMWF IFS provides a good description of the horizontal distribution and temporal variability of the main aerosol types. The forecast-only model described here generally gives the total aerosol optical depth within 0.12 of the relevant observations and can therefore provide the background trajectory information for the aerosol assimilation system described in part 2 of this paper.

Received 2 October 2008; accepted 21 January 2009; published 25 March 2009.

Citation: Morcrette, J.-J., et al. (2009), Aerosol analysis and forecast in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecast System: Forward modeling, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D06206, doi:10.1029/2008JD011235.

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