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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Keywords

  • dendrochronology
  • drought
  • Asian monsoon

Index Terms

  • Paleoceanography: Dendrochronology
  • Biogeosciences: Climate dynamics
  • Global Change: Regional climate change

Abstract

Summer monsoon moisture variability over China and Mongolia during the past four centuries

Jinbao Li

Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Earth Institute at Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA

Center for Arid Environment and Paleoclimate Research, MOE Key Laboratory of West China's Environmental System, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Edward R. Cook

Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Earth Institute at Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA

Fahu Chen

Center for Arid Environment and Paleoclimate Research, MOE Key Laboratory of West China's Environmental System, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Nicole Davi

Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Earth Institute at Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA

Rosanne D'Arrigo

Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Earth Institute at Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA

Xiaohua Gou

Center for Arid Environment and Paleoclimate Research, MOE Key Laboratory of West China's Environmental System, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Wiliam E. Wright

Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Earth Institute at Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA

Keyan Fang

Center for Arid Environment and Paleoclimate Research, MOE Key Laboratory of West China's Environmental System, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Liya Jin

Center for Arid Environment and Paleoclimate Research, MOE Key Laboratory of West China's Environmental System, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Jiangfeng Shi

School of Geographic and Oceanographic Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China

Tao Yang

Center for Arid Environment and Paleoclimate Research, MOE Key Laboratory of West China's Environmental System, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

A great impediment of Asian monsoon (AM) climate studies is the general lack of long-term observations of large-scale monsoon variability. Here we present a well-verified reconstruction of temporal changes in the dominant summer moisture pattern over China and Mongolia (CM), based on a network of tree-ring chronologies (1600–1991). The reconstruction reveals significant changes in the large-scale AM over the past four centuries, which coincide with dramatic episodes in Chinese history over the period of record. These episodes include the fall of the Ming Dynasty (AD 1644) and the catastrophic famine during China's Great Leap Forward (1958–1961). Overall, the reconstructed AM strength corresponds well with Northern Hemisphere temperature proxies over the past four centuries. Yet, this relationship has broken down in recent decades, raising the possibility that the major driving force of monsoon dynamics has shifted from natural to anthropogenic in nature.

Received 29 September 2009; accepted 14 October 2009; published 25 November 2009.

Citation: Li, J., et al. (2009), Summer monsoon moisture variability over China and Mongolia during the past four centuries, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L22705, doi:10.1029/2009GL041162.

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