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AGU: Water Resources Research

 

Keywords

  • model calibration
  • particle swarm optimization

Index Terms

  • Hydrology: Model calibration
  • Hydrology: Computational hydrology
  • Computational Geophysics: Model verification and validation
  • Hydrology: Modeling

Abstract

WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, VOL. 45, W10422, 22 PP., 2009
doi:10.1029/2009WR008051

Calibration of a water and energy balance model: Recursive parameter estimation versus particle swarm optimization

Karolien Scheerlinck

Department of Applied Mathematics, Biometrics and Process Control, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium

Valentijn R. N. Pauwels

Laboratory of Hydrology and Water Management, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium

Hilde Vernieuwe

Department of Applied Mathematics, Biometrics and Process Control, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium

Bernard De Baets

Department of Applied Mathematics, Biometrics and Process Control, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium

It is well known that one of the major problems in the application of land surface models is the determination of the various model parameters. In most cases, only one or a limited number of variables are used to estimate these parameters. This study evaluates the use of two fundamentally different global optimization methods, multistart weight-adaptive recursive parameter estimation (MWARPE) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), for the estimation of hydrologic model parameters on the basis of data for multiple variables. MWARPE iteratively uses the linear recursive filter equations in a Monte Carlo setting and therefore does not rely on the explicit minimization of an objective function. However, a major drawback of the MWARPE method is the high dimensionality, determined by the number of observations, of the matrix to be inverted. On the other hand, PSO is a stochastic optimization method based on the collective strength of a population of individuals with flocking or herding behavior, as observed in a wide number of biological systems. In situ observations of net radiation; latent, sensible, and ground heat fluxes; and the soil moisture profile are used to determine the parameters of a simplified water and energy balance model. Both optimization methods are analyzed in terms of model performance and computational efficiency. Comparable results, expressed in terms of the root mean square error values, were obtained for both methods. However, it was found that MWARPE tends to slightly overfit the data.

Received 1 April 2009; accepted 16 July 2009; published 16 October 2009.

Citation: Scheerlinck, K., V. R. N. Pauwels, H. Vernieuwe, and B. De Baets (2009), Calibration of a water and energy balance model: Recursive parameter estimation versus particle swarm optimization, Water Resour. Res., 45, W10422, doi:10.1029/2009WR008051.

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