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AGU: Journal of Geophysical Research, Biogeosciences

 

Keywords

  • models
  • data
  • resolution
  • requirements
  • carbon

Index Terms

  • Biogeosciences: Ecosystems, structure and dynamics
  • Biogeosciences: Biogeochemical cycles, processes, and modeling
  • Biogeosciences: Modeling
  • Biogeosciences: Remote sensing
Abstract
Cited By (4)
 

Abstract

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 115, G00E10, 11 PP., 2010
doi:10.1029/2009JG000937

Linking models and data on vegetation structure

G. C. Hurtt

Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, New Hampshire, USA

Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of New Hampshire, Durham, New Hampshire, USA

J. Fisk

Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, New Hampshire, USA

R. Q. Thomas

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA

R. Dubayah

Department of Geography, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA

P. R. Moorcroft

Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA

H. H. Shugart

Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA

For more than a century, scientists have recognized the importance of vegetation structure in understanding forest dynamics. Now future satellite missions such as Deformation, Ecosystem Structure, and Dynamics of Ice (DESDynI) hold the potential to provide unprecedented global data on vegetation structure needed to reduce uncertainties in terrestrial carbon dynamics. Here, we briefly review the uses of data on vegetation structure in ecosystem models, develop and analyze theoretical models to quantify model-data requirements, and describe recent progress using a mechanistic modeling approach utilizing a formal scaling method and data on vegetation structure to improve model predictions. Generally, both limited sampling and coarse resolution averaging lead to model initialization error, which in turn is propagated in subsequent model prediction uncertainty and error. In cases with representative sampling, sufficient resolution, and linear dynamics, errors in initialization tend to compensate at larger spatial scales. However, with inadequate sampling, overly coarse resolution data or models, and nonlinear dynamics, errors in initialization lead to prediction error. A robust model-data framework will require both models and data on vegetation structure sufficient to resolve important environmental gradients and tree-level heterogeneity in forest structure globally.

Received 15 January 2009; accepted 5 November 2009; published 8 June 2010.

Citation: Hurtt, G. C., J. Fisk, R. Q. Thomas, R. Dubayah, P. R. Moorcroft, and H. H. Shugart (2010), Linking models and data on vegetation structure, J. Geophys. Res., 115, G00E10, doi:10.1029/2009JG000937.

Cited By

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