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AGU: Geophysical Research Letters

 

Keywords

  • Arctic temperature
  • Antarctic temperature
  • AMO

Index Terms

  • Global Change: Climate variability
  • Global Change: Cryospheric change
  • Global Change: Regional climate change
  • Global Change: Oceans
  • Atmospheric Processes: Climatology

Abstract

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37, L08703, 4 PP., 2010
doi:10.1029/2010GL042793

Twentieth century bipolar seesaw of the Arctic and Antarctic surface air temperatures

Petr Chylek

Space and Remote Sensing, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, USA

Chris K. Folland

Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Change, Exeter, UK

Glen Lesins

Department of Physics and Atmospheric Science, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Manvendra K. Dubey

Earth and Environmental Sciences, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, USA

Understanding the phase relationship between climate changes in the Arctic and Antarctic regions is essential for our understanding of the dynamics of the Earth's climate system. In this paper we show that the 20th century de-trended Arctic and Antarctic temperatures vary in anti-phase seesaw pattern – when the Arctic warms the Antarctica cools and visa versa. This is the first time that a bi-polar seesaw pattern has been identified in the 20th century Arctic and Antarctic temperature records. The Arctic (Antarctic) de-trended temperatures are highly correlated (anti-correlated) with the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) index suggesting the Atlantic Ocean as a possible link between the climate variability of the Arctic and Antarctic regions. Recent accelerated warming of the Arctic results from a positive reinforcement of the linear warming trend (due to an increasing concentration of greenhouse gases and other possible forcings) by the warming phase of the multidecadal climate variability (due to fluctuations of the Atlantic Ocean circulation).

Received 3 February 2010; accepted 26 March 2010; published 22 April 2010.

Citation: Chylek, P., C. K. Folland, G. Lesins, and M. K. Dubey (2010), Twentieth century bipolar seesaw of the Arctic and Antarctic surface air temperatures, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L08703, doi:10.1029/2010GL042793.

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