Abstract
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,
VOL. 39,
L02701,
5 PP., 2012
doi:10.1029/2011GL050232
Is a global warming signature emerging in the tropical Pacific?
- Basin-wide warm event over tropical pacific during the boreal summer of 2009
- Evolution of the tropical Pacific SST and potential role of global warming
- Global warming may result in more basin-wide warm events
Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Earth Sciences Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA
The tropical pacific experienced a hitherto-unseen anomalous basinwide warming from May 2009 through April 2010 with the maximum warming to the east of the dateline, but for a weak anomalous cooling west of 140°E after early boreal fall. Our observed analysis and model experiments isolate the potential teleconnections from TP during the summer of 2009. Further, we show through an empirical orthogonal function analysis of the tropical Pacific SSTA that the anomalous conditions in TP during this period could have manifested as a canonical El Niño, but for a slowly intensifying background west–east gradient. This zonal SST gradient is subject to an increasing trend associated with global warming. A possible implication is that any further increase in global warming may result in more basinwide warm events in place of canonical El Niños, along with the occurrence of more intense La Niñas and El Niño Modokis.
Received 3 November 2011; accepted 8 December 2011; published 18 January 2012.
Citation: (2012), Is a global warming signature emerging in the tropical Pacific?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L02701, doi:10.1029/2011GL050232.
Cited By
