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Spatial Analysis

Kriging is the most popular method for spatial interpolation in the Earth Sciences. It is a clever, constrained, parametric regressor that is sometimes called nonparametric. Yakowitz and Szidarovsky [1985] developed theoretical results to establish the consistency and convergence properties of Kriging. For Kriging to work, they showed that proper variogram selection was critical. They formalized a Nadaraya Watson kernel regression estimator for spatial regression, established its consistency and convergence rates, utility for estimating functionals (e.g., integrals or derivatives of the surface), and developed a NN estimator of the local mean square error of estimation. Their Monte Carlo analysis showed that the kernel regressor was competitive with Kriging where the Kriging assumptions were valid, and superior where the second order assumptions broke down. Stein [1990] has since shown that the Kriging estimate can be unbiased even if the variogram is mis-specified (it needs to be of the right class though). The same cannot be said for the Kriging estimate of the MSE. The Kriging vs Nonparametric regression debate continues in the statistics literature, with equivalences and differences being highlighted, and the winner depending on the modeling perspective (stochastic process vs deterministic function observed with noise) adopted.

Some hydrologic applications of nonparametric spatial analysis are

Owosina et al. [1992] compare two multivariate kernel regression estimators, MARS, LOESS, TPSS and Kriging for reconstructing spatial surfaces from a variety of irregularly sampled synthetic (with varying signal to noise ratios) and ground water data sets. Model parameters were chosen automatically using cross validatory measures in all cases. In terms of RMSE and Mean Absolute Deviation, overall algorithm ordering (best to worst) across the data sets was TPSS, LOESS, KERNEL, MARS, KRIGING. The differences between the best and worst algorithm were dramatic in some cases. Methods for interpolating ground water data irregularly sampled in space and time were also illustrated.

Lall et al. [1994a] develop weighted, local polynomial estimators for spatial surfaces in the spirit of LOESS, with polynomial order and number of nearest neighbors chosen by GCV. A local GCV function is used to assess pointwise performance of the estimator. Global parameter selection using averaged local GCV scores is shown to be superior to the classical GCV. Applications to synthetic and ground water data show the superiority of the method to the best Ordinary Kriging estimator.

Lall and Ali [1992] consider the recovery of subsurface stratigraphy from drill log information. This information is encoded in a binary function (1 for ``sand,'' 0 for ``clay'') and two models to interpret this data are developed. The first considers the occurrence of sand in the vertical as a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NPP) at any point in the domain and uses a 3-dimensional kernel method to interpolate this rate from neighboring drill logs. Bandwidth parameters are chosen by cross validation. The NPP model is refined, and fully implemented with examples by Ali and Lall [1993a,b]. The second model considers the process of sand/clay occurrence in the vertical as a 2 state non-homogeneous Markov process. The transition intensity of this Markov process at any point in the aquifer is estimated using kernel methods, with bandwidth chosen by cross validation.



next up previous
Next: Closure Up: Recent advances in nonparametric Previous: Forecasting and Simulation



U.S. National Report to IUGG, 1991-1994
Rev. Geophys. Vol. 33 Suppl., © 1995 American Geophysical Union