General Information
Chapman Conference on Space Weather: Progress and Challenges in Research and Applications
Belleview Biltmore Resort and Spa
Clearwater, Florida
March 20-24, 2000
(Monday through Friday)

Conveners Paul Song
University of Michigan
Space Physics Research Laboratory
2455 Hayward Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-2143 USA

George Siscoe
Boston University
Center Space Physics
725 Commonwealth Avenue
Boston, MA 02215 USA

Cosponsors National Science Foundation (NSF)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
International Association of Geomagnetism and Aeronomy (IAGA)
National Oceanics and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Committee on Space Research (COSPAR)

Program Committee Dan Baker (University of Colorado, Boulder)

Richard Benhke (National Science Foundation)

Greg Ginet (Philips Research Laboratory)

Mary Hudson (Dartmouth College)

Yohsuke Kamide (Nagoya University, Japan)

John Linker (Science Applications International Corporation, San Diego)

Janet Luhmann (University of California, Berkeley)

Henrik Lundstedt (Lund University, Sweden)

Nelson Maynard (Mission Research Corporation, New Hampshire)

Gorden Rostoker (University of Alberta, Canada)

Chris Russell (University of California, Los Angeles)

Robert Schunk (Utah State University)

Howard Singer (Space Environment Center, NOAA, Boulder)

Chris St. Cyr (Computational Physics, Inc.)

Dick Wolf (Rice University, Houston, Texas)

Larry Zanetti (NASA Headquarters)

Conference Scope This conference will provide a forum to review, discuss and debate the new science that is learned in space weather - related research and that can be applicable to space weather predictions. The conference will provide an opportunity to evaluate the most recent scientific progress and to examine the next level of scientific challenges in both the U.S. National Space Weather Program and space weather programs in other countries.

Scientific discussions at the conference will help to define and highlight the next crucial phases of space weather research. Since the year of 2000 is the start of the solar maximum of solar cycle 23, the new results from the arrival of the solar maximum will be used to assess our understanding of the Sun-Earth connection and its application to space weather.

Distinct from conventional space physics research is the predictive nature of space weather research. The science program requires presentations to show direct or indirect predictive capabilities. Prediction of the effects of space weather processes on the environments where space-borne and ground-based technology systems operate will be the focal point of scientific presentations and discussion from all disciplines.

Although predictions at all levels are welcome, quantitative predictions, which are essential to the success of a space weather program, are emphasized.

Conference Location Belleview Biltmore Resort and Spa
25 Belleview Blvd.
Clearwater, Florida 33757

Housing Deadline: January 14, 2000 - CALL NOW FOR YOUR RESERVATION!
PHONE: 800/237-8947; 727/443-3701 FAX: (727) 441-4173
Please make your reservations early as a limited number of rooms are reserved. After January 14, 2000, rooms may be sold on a space and rate available basis. Be sure to state that you are with the AGU meeting (Group # 040) to receive special rates.

The conference will be held at the Belleview Biltmore Hotel. Information on the Hotel can be found at their website

Hotel Rates: AGU Group Rates for the conference will be
Single: $120.00 (1 double bed)
Double: $120.00 (2 doube beds or King room)
Suite: $232.00 (1 bedroom suite or Sun Parlor Suite)
Government rate is $105 single/double occupancy.

A 7% Florida sales Tax and a 4% county resort Tax will be added to the rate.
Children 12 and under complimentary in parent's room.
Maximum up to 4 people per room.

Deposit/Guarantee policy
A deposit of one night's room rate must accompany your reservation. All guaranteed reservations must be cancelled 48 hours prior to your scheduled arrival date to avoid forfeiting one night's room rate.

Check in time-3: 00 p.m.
Check out time 12:00 p.m. (noon)

Nestled amidst 300 acres of velvet lawns and tree-lined walk-ways, the Belleview Biltmore provides its guest an authentic Florida retreat.

Listed on the "National Registry of Historic Places" and reputed to be the largest occupied wooden structure in the world, the Biltmore is well known for its Victorian-style charm and Southern hospitality.

Most major Florida attractions are within 90 minutes drive from the hotel and the resort is just ten minutes from the white, sandy beaches and blue waters of the Gulf of Mexico.

The resort is a 30 minutes ride, 20 miles west of Tampa International Airport; 12 miles northwest of Clearwater/St. Petersburg Airport.

The location enjoys comfortable climate. Mild winters and warm summers with southerly prevailing winds off the Gulf help maintain a yearly average temperature of 72.8 degrees.

Topics to be Discussed

Abstract Submission Information

General Information

ABSTRACT DEADLINE: November 10, 1999


Compose your abstract on your E-mail software exactly as you would a normal message, using a MAXIMUM of 75 standard ASCII characters per line. Re-set your margins, if necessary, so that the text wraps from line to line, to avoid the insertion of hard returns. Follow the instructions below. A sample E-MAIL abstract is provided at the end.

I) TITLE - The title of the abstract should be composed in a standard title format, capitalizing the first letter of all words of four or more letters. Insert one blank line after title.

II)AUTHOR BLOCK- The author block should contain the name of a presenting author that should be enclosed in brackets and asterisks, like so: [*I M First*]. If there is no presenting author, then input [*!*] at the beginning of the author block. Input your author block by typing the author's name, then putting their address, phone, fax,
and e-mail information in parentheses, ( ).
Do not put each author on a separate line, but rather, separate each author's information with a semi-colon (;). Leave one blank line after the author block.

III)ABSTRACT TEXT - Special symbols or graphics should not be used in composing the abstract. Leave one blank line between paragraphs and after the body.

IV)SUBMITTAL INFORMATION - This section is to record information about which meeting the abstract is being submitted to and to obtain contact information. Please provide the following:

1. Title of meeting (Chapman Conference on Space Weather: Progress and Challenges in Research and Applications) (VERY IMPORTANT!)
3a. Corresponding address: Give name, affiliation,
and mailing address of the author to whom all correspondence regarding this abstract should be sent.
3b. Corresponding author's telephone number.
3c. Corresponding author's fax number
3d. Corresponding author's E-mail address.
4. Indicate whether the first author is a student.

V) SUBMIT YOUR ABSTRACT - Send the abstract to the following Internet address:
VI) CONFIRMATIONS - Confirmations of received abstracts will be sent via electronic mail within one business day of submission. If you have not received confirmation, please call the AGU at +1-202-462-6900, ext. 340 or fax: +1-202-328-0566.


Remote Sensing of Alpine Snow Properties: A
Review of Techniques and Accomplishments
Using the Visible Wavelengths Through the

[*J S Smith*] (Department of Geology, University
of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106-3060; ph.
805-893-2308; fax 805-893-2578; e-mail:; A C Cohen (Hydrology
Department, Watertown University, Watertown,
MA 02172; ph. 413-789-1234; fax 413-789-1256;

Topography causes wide variations in the
properties of alpine snow within small areas, and
a knowledge of the spatial variation of many
properties is essential for the application of
distributed hydrologic models and for establishing
the surface boundary condition for regional
climate models. However, the topography affects
the electromagnetic remote sensing signal by
shadowing some terrain and by modifying the
angles of incidence, emission, and reflection of
the signal, and our knowledge of the elevation
model is usually not precise enough to allow
a priori calculation of the geometric relationships
between the surface, sensor, and the Sun. Hence
remote sensing algorithms must be robust to such
uncertainties, except in areas where topographic
knowledge is especially good.

The most elementary snow property is the
presence or absence of a snow cover, and snow
mapping -- discrimination of snow from other
types of surfaces and from clouds -- is best
accomplished with a combination of visible and
near-infrared wavelengths.

1. Chapman Conference on Space Weather: Progress and Challenges in Research and Applications
2. Invited
3. (a) J S Smith
Department of Geology
University of California
Santa Barbara, CA 93106-3060
(b) 805-893-2309
(c) 805-893-2578
4. No

If you have questions, please contact Ann Singer at:

phone: +1-202-777-7340

Abstract Submissions by Mail

General Information


The abstract page is divided into two parts: the submittal information and the abstract itself. Please follow the instructions for both carefully.

Do not exceed the maximum abstract dimensions: standard, 11.8 cm wide x 18 cm long; extended, 11.8 cm wide x 28 cm long. Abstract length is measured from the top line of the title to the last line of the abstract text. An extended abstract must be submitted on legal-size paper (8.5" x 14"). Abstracts exceeding the 11.8 cm width requirement will be returned to you. Abstracts exceeding the 28 cm length limit will be cut off to conform to the appropriate size.

Abstracts are photocopied exactly as they are received, with approximately a 40% reduction in size, for printing in the meeting program that contains all abstracts accepted for the meeting. Therefore copy must be of letter-quality type, and you must use at least 12-pitch type or 11-point font size, or your abstract may not be readable.

Proofread your abstract carefully prior to submission. AGU staff cannot make any changes or corrections to abstracts. Abstracts received are considered final copy.

Do not send copies by fax or telecopier. Please mail one original and two copies for delivery by October 20, 1999, to

Chapman Conference on Space Weather: Progress and Challenges in Research and Applications
American Geophysical Union
2000 Florida Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20009 USA

Submittal Information

Submittal Information: Numbered sections below refer to the items required in the submittal information area of the abstract. Submittal information must be typed to the right of the abstract copy. Please complete each item.

1. Title of Meeting (Chapman Conference on Space Weather: Progress and Challenges in Research and Applications)
3. a) Corresponding address: Give name, affiliation, and mailing address of the author to whom all correspondence regarding this abstract should be sent.
b) Corresponding author's telephone number.
c) Corresponding author's fax number
d) Corresponding author's E-mail address.
4. Indicate whether the first author is a student.

Preparation of Abstract Copy

Preparation of Abstract Copy: Abstract copy must be located on the left side of an 8.5" x 11" page (8.5" x 14" for extended abstracts). Allow for a left margin of 0.5 cm and a top margin of 4 cm. The width of the abstract may not exceed 11.8 cm. Use a minimum 12-pitch type or 11-point font size. A complete abstract must include:

TITLE: The title of the abstract should be in uppercase and lowercase bold type, capitalizing the first letter of all words of four letters or more. Indent second line of title two spaces if it runs over. Leave one blank line after title.

AUTHOR BLOCK: Type names of authors (no punctuation) and addresses in uppercase and lowercase letters. Also include telephone and fax numbers and e-mail addresses. Underline the name of the author who will present the paper. Indent the second and subsequent lines two spaces. Separate author information with a semicolon. Leave one blank line after author block.

ABSTRACT: Leave one blank line between paragraphs.

Travel Support Limited funds will be available to support qualified students attending the conference and perhaps some foreign scienitists. Application forms for travel support can be obtained from the AGU Meetings Department. Awardees will be selected by the conveners. Application deadline is December 15, 1999.

Scientists from former Soviet Union countries may contact Civilian Research & Development Foundation for possible travel support. The application information can be found on the web at

Important Dates Abstract Submission Deadline: November 10, 1999

Housing Deadline: January 14, 2000

Registration Deadline: February 18, 2000

Meeting Date: 2000 Space Weather Conference
March 20- 24, 2000

For More Information Future information pertaining to this conference (i.e., scientific program, housing, registration) will be sent to those who have either submitted an abstract or have asked to be placed on the mailing list. Those not submitting abstracts who wish to be placed on the mailing list, please contact:

AGU Meetings Department
Space Weather Conference
Attn: Ann Singer
2000 Florida Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20009

Phone: +1-202-462-6900 (outside North America)
1-800-966-2481 (toll free in North America)
Fax: +1-202-328-0566

For all Phillies Baseball fans... Clearwater, Florida is the site of the Phillies Spring Training. During the Chapman Conference, the Phillies will be playing in Clearwater two times - once on Sunday, March 19 and then again on Saturday March 25. For ticket information, call 727/442-8496.


SPACE WEATHER: Progress & Challenges in Research & Application

March 20-24, 2000 in Clearwater, Florida

Belleview Biltmore Hotel


Deadline: February 18, 2000

Please complete the form below by entering your response(s) within the brackets [ ] following the prompts. Use "X" to indicate a selection. Please e-mail or fax this information directly to AGU.
Name: [ ]
Badge Name: [ ]
Address: [ ]
City: [ ]
State/Prov.: [ ]
Zip/FPC: [ ]
Country: [ ]
Phone: [ ]
Fax: [ ]
E-mail: [ ]

There are no one-day registration fees. Participant registration fees cover admission to all scientific and poster sessions, daily refreshments, opening reception and Wednesday's banquet.
[ ] Regular - $285.00
[ ] Student - $140.00

Tickets must be purchased in advance for guests of attendees who wish to attend these events.
[ ] Reception - $15.00 each
[ ] Banquet - $40.00 each
Name of Guest: [ ]

Payment in U.S. dollars must accompany this form. Sorry no purchase orders can be accepted.
[ ] American Express
[ ] Visa
[ ] MasterCard
Cardholder's Name: [ ]
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[ ] Checks, payable to the American Geophysical Union, will be accepted. Please mail check, along with the completed registration form, to Space Weather Chapman Conference, AGU, 2000 Florida Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20009, USA.

Please indicate any special requests, needs, or restrictions, such as disabilities, or dietary restrictions: [ ]

Please return this form by February 18, 2000
via e-mail to or
via fax to 202-328-0566

Program This Conference will provide a forum to review, discuss and debate the new science learned in space weather-related research that can be applicable to space weather predictions. The Conference will provide an opportunity to evaluate the most recent scientific progress and to examine the next level of scientific challenges in both the U.S. National Space Weather Program and space weather programs in other countries.

Scientific discussions at the Conference will help to define and highlight the next crucial phases of space weather research. Since the year of 2000 is the start of the solar maximum of solar cycle 23, the new results will be used from the arrival of the solar maximum to assess our understanding of the sun-earth connection and its application to space weather.

Distinct from conventional space physics research is the predictive nature of the space weather research. The science program requires presentations to show direct or indirect predictive capabilities. Prediction of the effects of space weather processes on the environments where space-borne and ground-based technology systems operate will be the focal point of scientific presentations and discussion from all disciplines.

Although predictability at all levels is welcome, quantitative predictions, which are essential to the success of a space weather program, is emphasized.

This meeting provides an outstanding opportunity for researchers, teachers, students, and consultants to review the latest issues affecting the Earth, the planets, and their environment in space.
Don't miss this chance to attend scientific sessions targeting your specific needs and interests, and to meet with your colleagues to review the latest developments in your field.

[FYI - the poster boards will be 4'x6.5']

Monday, March 20, 2000

Chair: Paul Song

8:20-8:25am George Siscoe Welcome

8:25-8:50am Richard A. Behnke Invited - Space Weather: An Applied Science

8:50-9:15am Louis J. Lanzerotti Invited - Space Weather: Effects on Technologies

9:15-9:40am G L Withbroe Invited - Living With a Star

9:40-10:05am H J Singer Invited - Space Weather Forecasting: A Grand Challenge

10:05-10:20am Break

10:20-10:45am R P McCoy Invited - Space Weather Research in the Navy

10:45-11:10am J U Kozyra Invited - Web_Based Space Weather Resources: An Update

11:10-12:00am Parker Invited - Space Weather and the Changing Sun

Monday Evening (7:00-9:55PM)
Specification of solar wind/IMF conditions.
Chair: J.G. Luhmann

7:00-7:50pm C T Russell Invited - Solar Wind and Interplanetary Magnetic Field: A Tutorial

7:50-8:15pm J T Gosling Invited - Nature and Origin of Solar Wind Variability in the Ecliptic Plane at 1 AU

8:15-8:40pm T I Gombosi Invited- Multiscale MHD Simulations of Sun-Earth Connection

8:40-9:05pm Pete Riley Invited - MHD Modeling of the Solar Corona and Heliosphere: Comparison with in situ Observations

9:05-9:30pm D H Hathaway Invited - Status of Cycle 23 Forecasts

9:30-9:55pm J.M. Davila Invited - NASA STEREO Contribution to Space Weather Monitoring

Tuesday, March 21, 2000
Specification of magnetospheric field/plasma conditions.
Chair: Richard Denton

8:00-8:50am G. Siscoe Invited - Magnetospheric Conditions and Modeling: A Tutorial

8:50-9:15am S M Petrinec Invited - Space Weather Capabilities _ Real_Time Modeling of the Shape of the Earth's Magnetopause and Bow Shock

9:15-9:40am P. Song Invited - Specification of magnetosheath conditions

9:40-10:05am N A Tsyganenko Invited - Magnetospheric Magnetic Field: Data_Based Modeling

10:05-10:20am Break

10:20-10:45am F. R. Toffoletto Invited - Modeling of Magnetospheric Electric Fields

10:45-11:10am J. G. Lyon Invited - Macroscale Magnetospheric Plasma Convection: Global MHD Model

11:10-11:35am W W White Invited - MHD Simulation of Magnetospheric Transport at the Mesoscale

11:35am-12:00pm M Hesse Invited - MHD_based Specification of Magnetotail Plasma and Fields: Possibilities and Limitations

12:00-12:15pm J D Richardson Upstream Solar Wind Monitors: When Can They Be Trusted?

Tuesday PM (2:00-4:30pm)
Posters I [The boards are 4' x 6.5']

On the Dynamics of Large-Amplitude Interplanetary Alfven Wave Trains
A C-L Chian
Tuesday 2:00-4:30pm

Forecasting of the Radiation and Geomagnetic Storms Using Aragats Research Stations Facilities Space Weather: Armenian Perspective
Tuesday 2:00-4:30pm

B J Anderson, K Takahashi, K Liou, C_I Meng, B Toth, D M Klumpar
Correlation of Iridium* System Birkeland Current Signatures and UV Auroral
Emissions Observed by Polar UVI

B Bala
On the Functional Relation of Solar Wind Velocity with Solar Longitude

Joseph E. Borovsky, Michelle F. Thomsen, Haje Korth, David J. McComas, Ruth M. Scoug, Philip Barker, Alan J. Lazarus
Correlations of Magnetospheric Hot Electrons and Spacecraft Charging with the Properties of the Solar Wind

Margaret W Chen, Michael Schulz
Global Maps of Height_Integrated Ionospheric Hall and Pedersen Conductivities Calculated from Simulated Stormtime Distributions of Precipitating Plasma Sheet Electrons

D. Chiorean, M. Zhang, J.-H. Shue, P. Song
Prediction of the Magnetopause, Magnetosheath and Bow Shock: Further Development

A B Christensen, L J Paxton, D J Strickland, R R Meier, G Crowley
Remote Sensing of Thermospheric and Auroral Properties Using the GUVI Instrument on the TIMED Spacecraft

F K Chun, D J Knipp, M G McHarg, J R Lacey, B A Emery, G Lu, A D Richmond
Averaged Global Patterns of Ionospheric Properties as a Function of Geomagnetic Activity

C. R. Clauer, T. I. Gombosi, D. DeZeeuw, A. J. Ridley, J. U. Kozyra, V. O.
Papitashvili, P. Song, F. Sedgemore-Schulthess, K. G. Powell, B. Van Leer, Q. F.
Stout, R. A. Wolf, J. W. Freeman, R. G. Roble, A. D. Richmond, G. Lu, T. E. Holzer
Development of an Integrated Teraflop-Class Predictive Space Weather Model

David J. Crain
Global Now_casting and Specification of Ionospheric Electric Fields Using Satellite Constellations
G. Crowley, T. Immel, R.G. Roble
Neutral Density Cells In The Lower Thermosphere At High Latitudes

Steve Curtis

D. T. Decker, W. S. Borer, J. O. Wise, R. E. Daniell Jr.
Comprehensive Evaluation of Ionospheric Models

Magnetospheric Density: Observations and Remote Sensing
Richard Denton

A V Dmitriev, A V Suvorova, I S Veselovsky
Heliospheric plasma and magnetic field dynamics during the rising part of the 23_rd solar cycle: comparison with previous cycles and possible geophysical consequences

V Eccles
Observational Inputs for the Initialization of Physics_Based Forecast Models of Equatorial Spread F

C T Russell, D Elliott, T Mulligan, J G Luhmann
Interplanetary Magnetic Flux Ropes: Solar Cycle Variation

B A Emery, G Lu, A D Richmond, D J Knipp, F K Chun, M G McHarg, J Lacey
S Vennerstroem, C_H Lin, F J Rich, D S Evans
Statistics and AMIE Case Studies of Convection and Electron
Precipitation During Periods of Large Negative Thule Polar Cap Index

J F Fennell, H C Koons, J B Blake
Developing Internal Charging Specification for Spacecraft

J C Foster
Quantitative Investigation of Ionospheric Density Gradients at Mid Latitudes

M P Freeman, M Daws, R B Horne
A Statistical Link Between Magnetic Storms and Spacecraft Anomalies

S F Fung, D F Moorer, Jr.
Application of Data Assimilation to Radiation Belt Modeling

G. A. Hajj, X. Pi, L. J. Romans, C. Wang
Square Root Information Filter Approach to Ionospheric Data Assimilation

S M Hill, V J Pizzo, Daniel C. Wilkinson
GOES Solar X_ray Imager (SXI): Observing Plans and Products

C S Huang, G J Sofko, A V Kustov
HF Radar Real_Time Observations of Magnetospheric, Ionospheric, and
Atmospheric Disturbances

J.D. Huba, G. Joyce, J.A. Fedder
The Formation of an Electron Hole in the Topside Equatorial Ionosphere
D J Knipp, F K Chun, M G McHarg, B A Emery, G Lu
The Auroral Boundary Index as a Specifier of Ionospheric Electrodynamic

R. A. Leske, R. A. Mewaldt, E. C. Stone, T. T. von Rosenvinge
Radiation Hazards at the Space Station Due to Geomagnetic
Cutoff Suppressions

R Link
Effect of Magnetar Gamma Ray Bursts on Ionization in the Upper Atmosphere

Y Liu, X P Zhao, J T Hoeksema
The Magnetic Field Configuration in Sigmoid Structures

Y Li, J.G. Luhmann, I. Sircar, J.T.Hoeksema, N. Arge, F. Fenrich
A CME Prediction Tool Based on Photospheric Field Measurements and
Coronal Models

F A Marcos, J O Wise, M. J. Kendra, J. N. Bass
Accurate Global Thermospheric Neutral Densities and Integrated Solar EUV

L. J. Lanzerotti, D. W. Maurer, K. Egan, C. G. Maclennan
Measurements of Spacecraft Charging at Geosynchronous Orbit

RR Meier
Ultraviolet Remote Sensing of Space Weather

M M Munroe
An Empirically Derived Model of the Sun and Solar Wind

A. C. Nicholas, J. M. Picone, K. Dere, R. Howard, S. E. Thonnard, R. R.
Meier, K. F. Dymond, R. P. McCoy
Assessment of Thermospheric and Ionospheric Response to Solar and Geomagnetic Forcing

K_I Nishikawa, S Ohtani
Global Particle Simulation for a Space Weather Model:
Present and Future

A A Petrukovich, G N Zastenker, S I Klimov, A Lazarus, R P Lepping
Solar Wind Energy Input to the Magnetosphere:
Accuracy of Measurements and Usage for Space Weather

Manju Prakash, P H Diamond
The Role of Nonlinear Landau Damping and the
Bounced Motion of Protons in the Formation of
Dissipative Structures in the Solar Wind Plasma

A. A. Samsonov, M. I. Pudovkin
An Application of the Bounded Anisotropy Model and of the Double_
Polytropic Model for Dayside Magnetosheath Modeling.

A. A. Samsonov, M. I. Pudovkin
Combination Method in MHD Models

S Y Sazykin, B G Fejer, R A Wolf, R W Spiro, G J Bailey
Modeling Studies of the Variability of Ionospheric Prompt Penetration
Electric Fields

J._H. Shue, P. T. Newell, K. Liou, C._I. Meng
Maps of Auroral Brightness for Space Weather

R. J. Sitar, J. C. Foster, J. M. Holt
The Millstone Hill Comprehensive Ionospheric Model

P J Sultan, F J Rich
Observations and Modeling of the Seasonal and Longitudinal Occurrence Pattern of Equatorial Spread F

K Takahashi, B J Anderson, B A Toth, T Kamei, D M Klumpar
Monitoring the Auroral Electrojet Using Iridium* System Magnetometer Data

M F Thomsen, J E Borovsky, H Korth, D J McComas
The Upper Cut_Off in the Plasma_Sheet Electron Spectrum as a Measure of Convection Strength

C T Russell, Y L Wang, J Raeder
Predicting the Time of Arrival of Interplanetary Shocks

N A Zabotin, Yu V Chugunov, E A Mareev, A G Bronin
Diagnostics of Space Plasma Irregular Structure by Quasi_Thermal Noise Spectroscopy

N A Zabotin, J W Wright
New Diagnostic Methods for Ionospheric Irregularities by HF Radio Sounding
Tuesday Evening (7:00-9:55 PM)
Specification of ionospheric/thermospheric conditions.
Chair: T.L. Killeen

7:00-7:50pm R W Schunk Invited - Ionospheric Climatology and Weather

7:50-8:15pm A D Richmond Invited - Modeling Disturbances of the Global Ionospheric Electric Field

8:15-8:40pm T.J. Fuller-Rowell Invited - Capturing the Storm_Time Ionospheric Response in an Empirical Model

8:40-9:05pm P A Bernhardt Invited New Systems for Space Based Monitoring of Ionospheric Irregularities and Radio Wave Scintillations

9:05-9:30pm S Basu Invited - Specification and Forecasting of Outages on Satellite Communication and Navigation Systems

Wednesday AM (8-12:30)
Specification of Solar Energetic Particle environments.
Chair: J.T. Burkepile

8:00-8:50am S W Kahler Invited - Origin and Properties of Solar Energetic Particles: A Tutorial

8:50-9:15am D V Reames Invited - SEPs: Space Weather Hazard in Interplanetary Space

9:15-9:40am J W Freeman Invited - Specifying Geomagnetic Cutoffs for Solar Energetic Particles

9:40-9:55am D F Smart Specifying the Solar Proton Environment at the International Space Station

9:55-10:10am R E Turner What We Must Know About Solar Particle Events to Reduce the Risk to Astronauts

10:10-10:25 Break
Specification of magnetospheric radiation conditions.
Chair: J.F. Fennel

10:25-10:50am D N Baker Invited - Specification of Energetic Magnetospheric Electrons and Ions

10:50-11:15am G D Reeves Invited - Specification of the Earth's Relativistic Electron Belts Using Multi-Satellite Measurements

11:15-11:40am J M Albert Invited - Dynamic Radiation Belt Modeling at AFRL

11:40am-12:05pm D M Boscher Invited - Transport of Energetic Particles in the Magnetosphere

12:05-12:30pm T Obara Invited - Specification of the Radiation Belt During Substorm __Role of the Storm_Time Substorms for the Large Enhancement of the Outer Belt Electrons; Supply of 6 Sources and Acceleration of Them

Wednesday Evening (6:30-9 PM)
Conference Banquet

NASA Space Weather initiative: Living With a Star (8PM-9PM)

Thursday AM (8-12:15)
Forecast and nowcast solar events.
Chair: J. Chen

8:00-8:50am J A Klimchuk Invited - Solar Origins of Space Weather Disturbances

8:50-9:15am T E Holzer Invited - Coronal Mass Ejections

9:15-9:40am G J Hurford Invited - Nowcasting Solar Activity: The Role of Radio and X_ray Observations

9:40-10:05am J K Chao Invited - Prediction of the Southward IMF Bz

10:05-10:20am Break

10:20-10:45am Y Li Invited - Visualizing and Predicting CMEs and Geomagnetic Storms from Solar Magnetic Fields

10:45-11:10am D. Webb Invited - The Solar Sources of Geomagnetically_Effective Structures

11:10-11:25am N J Fox Coronal Mass Ejection Events: Comparative Geoeffectiveness at Solar Minimum

11:25-11:40am D M Rust Forecasting coronal mass ejections (CMEs) by analyses of solar images

11:40am-12:05pm S.P. Plunkett Invited - Origins of Halo Coronal Mass Ejections: Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Observations From SOHO

12:05-12:30PM H Lundstedt Invited - Solar Activity Predicted with Artificial Intelligence

Thursday PM (2:00-4:30)
Posters II [The boards are 4' x 6.5']

H.S. Ahluwalia
Ap Index a Fount of Solar Activity Development Indicator

C. N. Arge, V. J. Pizzo, J. G. Luhmann
Predictions of Solar Wind Speed and IMF Polarity Using Near_Real_Time
Solar Magnetic Field Updates

C. N. Arge, J. Chen, S. Slinker, V. J. Pizzo
Implementation of the Chen Prediction Technique for Forecasting Large
Nonrecurrent Storms.

V Balasubramanian, S Ananthakrishnan, P Janardhan, M Dryer
The Role of IPS Technique in Detection and Tracking of Interplanetary
Transients and its Application to Short Term Forecasts of Space Weather

E S Belenkaya
Evolution of the Polar cap Boundary Shift due to the Region 1 Field_Aligned Currents During Magnetic Substorm

E.E. Benevolenskaya
Predictions of Solar Active Longitudes

J W Bieber, A Belov, E Eroshenko, P Evenson, R Pyle, V Yanke
Cosmic Rays and Space Weather

L F Burlaga
Fast Ejecta in the Solar Wind

C. Z. Cheng, Sorin Zaharia, Jay R. Johnson
Energetic Particle Injection and Substorm Dipolarization location

J. Chen
A Theoretical Model of Halo CMEs

C. M. S. Cohen, A. C. Cummings, R. A. Leske, R. A. Mewaldt,
E. C. Stone, P. L. Slocum, M. E. Wiedenbeck, E. R. Christian, T. T. von Rosenvinge
Nowcasting with the Solar Isotope Spectrometer on ACE

David H. Collins, Joan Feynman
Early Prediction of Geomagnetic Storms

G.Consolini, P. De Michelis
A Topological Cellular Automaton for the Earth's Magnetotail Dynamics

Steve Curtis

Geoffrey D. Reeves, Reiner H. W. Friedel, Sebastien Bourdarie, Tom Cayton, Michel Tuszewski
Relativistic Electron Flux Limits during disturbed conditions _ GPS andGeosynchronous Observations
J T Hoeksema Forecasting the Heliospheric Magnetic Field Polarity

Implications of CME Observations on Space Weather
[*R A Howard*]; A Vourlidas; P Subramanian; K P Dere; N R
Sheeley, Jr; O C St Cyr; S P Plunkett (E O Hulburt Center for
Space Research, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington DC 20375;
ph. 202_767_2263; fax 202_767_5636; e_mail:;

R A Howard, J D Moses, K P Dere, D S Socker, J K Karpen,
J A Klimchuk, N R Sheeley, Jr, C M Korendyke, D J Michels,
M J Koomen, O C St Cyr, S P Plunkett, A Title, J P Wuelser,
J R Lemen, T Tarbell, C J Wolfson, M A Aschwandan, D Alexander,
T R Metcalf, J Davila, R R Fisher, B J Thompson, J B Gurman, J S Newmark,
L F Burlaga, L Golub, D F Webb, P C Liewer, E Dejong, Z Mikic, J A Linker,
D M Hassler, L A Fisk, T H Zurbuchen, G M Simnett, J L Culhane, R A Harrison,
R I Bush, R Schwenn, B Inhester, E Marsch, V Bothmer, H Kunow, J P Delaboudiniere, J L Bougeret, M Pick, P. Lamy, A. Llebaria, J M Defise, C Jamar, P Rochus
The SECCHI Experiment for the Stereo Mission

S Jurac, J D Richardson, K I Paularena
Correlation Between L1 and Earth of Geoeffective Events

T L Killeen, R M Johnson, J U Kozyra, W Wang, A G Burns,
R J Niciejewski, P Knoop, G Olson, D Atkins, J Hardin, T Weymouth,
G Golden, T Finholt, A Prakash, F Jahanian
SPARC: A Web_based Research and Education Tool for the Space Physics and
Aeronomy Community

H C Koons, J F Fennell, J. L. Roeder, J B Blake
Extreme Space Weather Events

H Korth, M F Thomsen, J E Borovsky, S Lynch
Storm_Time Plasma_Sheet Density

A.G. Kosovichev, E.E. Benevolenskaya, T.L. Duvall, Jr, P.H. Scherrer
New Challenges in Reconstruction and Forecast of the
Magnetic Structure of the Sun and Active Regions

J G Luhmann, Yan Li, O C St. Cyr, S P Plunkett, N Arge, J T Hoeksema, X P Zhao
Comparisons of Magnetogram_based Magnetic Storm
Predictions and LASCO Halo_based Predictions

Y P Maltsev, I V Golovchanskaya, M Y Goncharova, B V Rezhenov (PGI, Apatity)
Statistical Relations Between Geomagnetic Indices and Solar Wind Parameters

Y P Maltsev, A A Ostapenko, E Y Feshchenko
Storm Effect on the Bulk Magnetic Field in the Magnetosphere

M.F. Marcucci, G. Consolini
A Wavelet Approach to the Magnetospheric Response
to Solar Wind Pressure Sudden Impulses.

Therese Moretto, Nils Olsen
A Proxy for the Auroral Electrojet From High Precision Geomagnetic Satellite Data

C T Russell, T Mulligan, D. Elliott, J G Luhmann, J T Gosling, B J Anderson
R P Lepping
Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections: Magnetic Scale Sizes
Determined from Multiple Satellite Studies

Larry J. Paxton, Daniel Morrison, Douglas J. Strickland, Andrew B. Christensen,
Ching_I. Meng
Monitoring Space Weather from Low Earth Orbit: The Far Ultraviolet Imagers on TIMED and DMSP

D I Ponyavin
Global Changes of Magnetic Field on the Sun and Geomagnetic

M J Reiner, M L Kaiser
Remote Radio Tracking CMEY..

C T Russell, G Lu, J G Luhmann
Can the Polar Cap Potential Drop be Predicted from the
Interplanetary Electric Field?

C T Russell, G Lu, J G Luhmann
Can Ring Current Injection be Predicted from the AE Index?

R B Sheldon
The Prediction of MeV "Killer" Electrons at Geosynchronous Orbit

D J Strickland, R E Daniell, J D Craven
Thermospheric Disturbances Recorded by FUV Disk Imagery and Their Correlation with Negative Ionospheric Storms

A Szabo, C W Smith, R L Tokar, R M Skoug
Multi_Spacecraft Observations of Interplanetary Shocks

L Trichtchenko, D H Boteler
Specification of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Pipelines

D. Vassiliadis, A. J. Klimas, J. A. Valdivia
Electrojet Model Driven by ACE data

D F Webb, O C St. Cyr, R A Howard, B J Thompson

D R Weimer
Forecasting Ionospheric Electric Potentials, Currents, and
Magnetic Perturbations Using Empirical Models

B J Anderson, K Takahashi, B A Toth, L J Zanetti, D M Klumpar
Dynamic Evolution of the Global Field Aligned Currents During Geomagnetic

G P Zank, W K M. Rice, J Lu
Particle Acceleration at Coronal Mass Ejection Driven Shocks

X P Zhao, J T Hoeksema, Y Liu
The Cause of High_Latitude CMEs

W D Pesnell, R A Goldberg, D L Chenette, E E Gaines, M Schulz
Growth and Decay of Relativistic Electrons During a Magnetic Storm as seen in Low-Earth Orbit

Y. Miyoshi, A. Morioka, H. Misawa, T Obara, T. Nagai
Variation of Energetic Electrons in the Inner Magnetosphere
during Magnetic Storms

Thursday Evening (7-9:50 PM)
Nowcast and forecast magnetospheric disturbances and Geomagnetically Induced Currents
Chair: C.R. Clauer

7:00-7:25pm R L. McPherron Invited - Predicting Geomagnetic Indices

7:25-7:50pm J Berchem Invited - Modelling the Large-Scale Dynamics of the Magnetosphere during Extreme Solar Wind Conditions

7:50-8:15pm R. M. Winglee Invited - Mass Loading and Energization Within the Magnetosphere: Influence of Solar Wind Transients

8:15-8:30pm M Wiltberger Magnetospheric Nowcasting via a Global MHD Simulation

8:30-8:45pm J Chen Real_Time Prediction of Large Nonrecurrent Storms

8:45-9:10pm D. H. Boteler Invited - Determining the Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Power Systems

9:10-9:35pm John G Kappenman Invited - Advanced Geomagnetic Storm Forecasting for the Electric Power Industry

9:35-9:50pm Risto Pirjola - Studies of the Impact of Ionospheric Space Weather Events on Electric Power Transmission Systems

Friday AM (8AM-12:30PM)
Nowcast and forecast magnetospheric radiation hazards.
Chair: S.F. Fung

8:00-8:25am M. K. Hudson Invited - Radiation Belt Particle Acceleration by ULF Wave Drift Resonance

8:25-8:50am R A Wolf Invited - Forecasting Kilovolt Electrons

8:50-9:15am Xinlin Li Predicting Outer Belt Electron Enhancements Using Solar Wind as Input

9:15-9:30am Break
Nowcast and forecast ionospheric and thermospheric disturbances.
Chair: D.J. Knipp

9:45-10:10am R G Roble Invited - On Forecasting Thermospheric and Ionospheric Disturbances in Space Weather Events

10:10-10:35am R A Greenwald Invited - Nowcasting Global Ionospheric Convection With the SuperDARN Radar Network

10:35-10:50am U S Inan, T F Bell, M W Chevalier, R C Moore
Very Low Frequency Remote Sensing of Relativistic Electron Precipitation and the Position and Intensity of the Auroral Electrojet

10:50-11:15am J Raeder Invited - Global Modeling of Substorms and Storms in Earth's Magnetosphere_ Ionosphere_Thermosphere System

11:15-11:40am Patrick T. Newell Invited - Novcasting the Auroral Oval: A UPOS Project

11:40-12:05pm J P McFadden Invited - FAST Observations of Magnetospheric_Ionospheric Coupling

12:05-12:30pm N C Maynard Invited - Forecasting ionospheric electric fields: An IMF-solar-wind coupling perspective

Friday PM (2:00-4:30)
Concluding Remarks
Chair: H.J. Singer

2:00-2:25pm L J Zanetti Invited - Space Weather: United States perspectives

2:25-2:50pm E Daly Invited -Space Weather:
European Perspectives

2:50-3:15pm Y Kamide Invited - Space Weather: Japanese Perspectives

3:15-3:40pm M I Panasyuk Invited - Space Weather: Russian Perspectives

3:40-4:05pm G. Siscoe Invited - Next Phase of Space Weather Scientific Endeavor

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