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Member Since 2018
Jeroen Aerts
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
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An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)
EARTH'S FUTURE
01 march 2024
Lena Reimann, Elco Koks, Hans de Moel, Marijn Ton,...

Fatalities caused by natural hazards are driven not only by population exposure, but also by their vulnerability to these events, determined by int...

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Global Projections of Storm Surges Using High‐Resolution CMIP6 Climate Models
EARTH'S FUTURE
13 september 2023
Sanne Muis, Jeroen Aerts, Jose A. Antolinez, Job D...

In the coming decades, coastal flooding will become more frequent due to sea‐level rise and potential changes in storms. To produce global st...

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Flood Vulnerability Models and Household Flood Damage Mitigation Measures: An Econometric Analysis of Survey Data
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
31 july 2023
Thijs Endendijk, Willem J. Botzen, Hans de Moel, J...

Flood events are expected to increase in their frequency and severity, which results in higher flood risk without additional adaptation measures. T...

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Advances and Limits to applying Agent Based Models in Water Risk Modelling
SOCIOHYDROLOGY: INTEGRATING COMPLEX DYNAMICS AND BROADENING SOCIAL IMPACTS I ORAL
science and society | 17 december 2021
Jeroen Aerts, Toon Haer, Hans de Moel, Jens De Bru...
A particular feature of coupled human-water systems is that they are inherently complex, characterized by non-linearities, feedbacks, thresholds, and ...
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ADOPT, a socio-hydrologic, agent-based drought adaptation model to evaluate drought risk reduction strategies for smallholder farmers in semi-arid Kenya
HYDROLOGY, SOCIETY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE: CONVERGENT APPROACHES TO HUMAN–WATER INTERACTIONS I
hydrology | 14 december 2020
Marthe Wens, Ted Veldkamp, Anne Van Loon, J Michae...
To account for dynamic adaptive behaviour in risk models, we developed a multidisciplinary agricultural drought risk model, ADOPT, that simulates the ...
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Global River Discharge and Floods in the Warmer Climate of the Last Interglacial
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
17 september 2020
Paolo Scussolini, Dirk Eilander, Edwin Sutanudjaja...

We investigate hydrology during a past climate slightly warmer than the present: the last interglacial (LIG). With daily output of preindustrial an...

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Flood Risks in Sinking Delta Cities: Time for a Reevaluation?
EARTH'S FUTURE
21 august 2020
Jie Yin, Bas Jonkman, Ning Lin, Dapeng Yu, Jeroen ...

Sea level rise (SLR) and subsidence are expected to increase the risk of flooding and reliance on flood defenses for cities built on deltas. Here, ...

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What Will the Weather Do? Forecasting Flood Losses Based on Oscillation Indices
EARTH'S FUTURE
20 march 2020
Gabriela Guimarães Nobre, Hans de Moel, Matteo Giu...

Atmospheric oscillations are known to drive the large‐scale variability of hydrometeorological extremes in Europe, which can trigger flood ev...

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